Fantasy Football Player Analysis: Wide receiver

by Cory J. Bonini on July 23, 2012 @ 17:42:00 PDT

 

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19) Dwayne Bowe | Kansas City Chiefs | 6-foot-2, 221 pounds | 6th year

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Run Att Run Yds Rush TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
6676876102668030150169

Dwayne Bowe, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

Fantasy analysis: Bowe is in a bit of a contract squabble with the team over receiving the franchise tag this offseason, but we are confident a deal will be hammered out in short order. He exploded with 15 touchdowns in 2010 and came back to reality with only five a year ago; he should approach double-digit scores this year if Matt Cassel remains healthy. The offense will focus on the ground game, although Bowe will remain a fixture in the aerial attack. He could greatly benefit from Jonathan Baldwin stepping up to draw more coverage, and the healthy return of tight end Tony Moeaki (knee) only gives the team more weapons for defenses to concern themselves with. Bowe has a tempered ceiling, which is that of a possession receiver, making his value at its highest in PPR formats. He goes on average in the late fifth round, which is a reasonable value if he reports on time.

20) Percy Harvin | Minnesota Vikings | 5-foot-11, 184 pounds | 4th year

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Run Att Run Yds Rush TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
64748089585721271101400259

Fantasy analysis: Harvin wasn't happy, now he is happy, but only for this year... An offseason of soap opera drama is never good. Yet, Harvin is in position to excel. He will be more involved in the passing attack if his offseason spat resonated with the coaching staff. Christian Ponder should only improve in his second year, and Adrian Peterson's knee injury could lead to more passing. Jerome Simpson came in to help take off some pressure on Harvin, too. The smallish wideout has more value in PPR leagues and could help in scoring systems that reward for individual special teams return plays. Draft him as a marginal No. 2 receiver in PPR and a third in standard scoring; his ADP is the fourth round in conventional setups, which is a little high.

21) DeSean Jackson | Philadelphia Eagles | 5-foot-10, 175 pounds | 5th year

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Run Att Run Yds Rush TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
6171915106557285350158

Fantasy analysis: The sky is the limit for Jackson and the Eagles' offense this season, but a healthy Michael Vick will be key in their success. D-Jax was paid and now will have to earn it. He is a classic deep threat, with an all-or-nothing statistical profile. Jackson, who has injury concerns, probably will not top 65 receptions, and his touchdown production is tough to count on. His season-long numbers will look better than the lack of weekly consistency he offers. D-Jax has more value in non-PPR leagues and comes off the board with an ADP of the early seventh round.

22) Steve Smith | Carolina Panthers | 5-foot-9, 185 pounds | 12th year

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Run Att Run Yds Rush TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
657582197124040240125

Fantasy analysis: Smith enjoyed a total resurrection in 2011, as rookie quarterback Cam Newton relied heavily on him. Smith played all 16 games for the first time since 2005. Don't forget that on draft day. He is 33 years old and has scored double-digit touchdowns in one season of his career. Newton clearly has an affinity for Smith, and essentially no receiver on the team is threat to steal significant touches from the veteran wideout. Be cautious if you select Smith, expect some regression, and draft more stability at the position to cover your tail. He goes, on average, in the fifth round.

23) Eric Decker | Denver Broncos | 6-foot-3, 218 pounds | 3rd year

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Run Att Run Yds Rush TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
657578693657040190158

Fantasy analysis: Decker has worked closely with Peyton Manning this offseason and should benefit from the added reps. He came close to breaking out in 2011, but the Tim Tebow experiment derailed his year from a fantasy perspective. Decker has downfield speed and red zone ability. He has sure hands and showed a nose for the end zone last season. His fantasy value rides on Manning's effectiveness, as the backup situation in Denver is ugly. Decker is a slightly risky No. 3 fantasy receiver who could pay WR2 rewards. Consistency could be an issue, especially early in the year, but he is worth the gamble at the right price. Decker's ADP is the late ninth round.

24) Jeremy Maclin | Philadelphia Eagles | 6-foot, 205 pounds | 4th year

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Run Att Run Yds Rush TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
6878867101768030150169

Fantasy analysis: Maclin's 2011 season was probably doomed before it began. An offseason illness plagued him, and he ended up missing three games because of various injuries. Healthy, and seven pounds of muscle added, Maclin enters this offseason in great shape poised to rebound and provide fantasy footballers a staple in their passing game. In 2010, Maclin was consistent and provided fantasy owners with stability. Last year should be erased from your mind, as that simply wasn't Maclin as we know him. Much of his success rides on Michael Vick remaining healthy. Maclin checks in as a sixth-round pick, on average, which is fair value for the slight bit of risk you assume.

WRs 25-36 are a delight to read.

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About Cory J. Bonini

Cory is KFFL's General Manager. In late 2002, he joined the KFFL staff as a research analyst and has been involved in fantasy sports since 1996. A member of the Fantasy Sports Trade Association, as well as Fantasy Sports Writers Association, Bonini has been featured in print, on radio and on scores of websites. Bonini co-hosted Big Lead Sports on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio from 2011 to 2012.

Bonini was recognized with the 2010 Best Article in Print Award from the FSWA and was a finalist for the same award in 2011. In '11, he finished first overall in the FSWA NFL experts challenge that featured 60 of the industry's best competitors.

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