Fantasy Football Player Analysis: Running back

by Cory J. Bonini on July 23, 2012 @ 02:26:46 PDT

 

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19) Isaac Redman | Pittsburgh Steelers | 6-foot, 230 pounds | 3rd year

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Fantasy analysis: Rashard Mendenhall (knee) may start the season on the Physically Unable to Perform list, which would cost him at least six games. Even if he is active for Week 1, a late-season ACL tear in 2011 means he will not be 100 percent in 2012. Redman has quality size and a little bit of wiggle to him. He has averaged at least 4.4 yards per carry in the last two seasons and is a capable receiver out of the backfield. Pittsburgh is trying to open up their offense under new OC Todd Haley. Nevertheless, Redman has sneaky fantasy football value as an RB3. He could pass as a low-end No. 2 if you have an elite RB1. He goes in the third round, on average.

20) Trent Richardson | Cleveland Browns | 5-foot-11, 224 pounds | Rookie

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
226266884103479344030335602711

Fantasy analysis: Cleveland's ground game will run through Richardson, who is arguably the best running back prospect to come out since Adrian Peterson in 2007. The do-all back is built for Cleveland's late-season inclement weather and has fantasy owners drooling over his potential. Rookie running backs have struggled in recent years, and Cleveland's prized rusher probably won't be the exception to that rule. He is being overvalued as the sixth running back off the board, going on average at No. 6 overall. Don't make that mistake. He is likely to have a rookie quarterback manning the offense, and defenders will stack the box eight deep until Cleveland's mediocre receiving corps can scare a D.

21) Doug Martin | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5-foot-9, 219 pounds | Rookie

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
223263897104768404632637502610

Fantasy analysis: Martin does a little bit of everything but nothing exceptionally well. He should be given the first crack at winning the starting job, although we feel LeGarrette Blount will challenge him for touches throughout the season. Tampa's OL is poised to be one of the best in the league, and new head coach Greg Schiano is committed to pounding the rock. Martin's compact build allows him to run effectively inside and on the perimeter. Investing a high draft pick in a rookie rusher is a daunting pledge, one we are hesitant to make. Fantasy owners are slightly overzealous in their selecting of Martin, as his ADP is 22 overall. Consider him a risky midrange No. 2 fantasy back.

22) Frank Gore | San Francisco 49ers | 5-foot-9, 217 pounds | 8th year

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
22626690910596815211221700169

Fantasy analysis: Gore's ranking is low, and we expect it to rise once this situation becomes clearer. The 49ers added Brandon Jacobs and rookie LaMichael James to an already crowded backfield. Kendall Hunter will vie for playing time, as well. Gore, 29, has a fair amount of mileage on his tires and was nonexistent in the passing game last season with just 17 receptions. San Fran has added weapons to the passing game with the hopes of opening up the offense a bit. Gore is injury-prone and has just one season of double-digit scoring production in his entire career. He is no longer a centerpiece of a fantasy team and, arguably, hasn't been for the last two years. Owners are rolling the dice on him with the 23rd overall pick, which likely makes him a No. 1 on someone's team. Do not be that someone.

23) Jamaal Charles | Kansas City Chiefs | 5-foot-11, 199 pounds | 5th year

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
2282681143129379616753759024913

Fantasy analysis: The electric Charles is coming off knee reconstruction for a torn anterior cruciate ligament in Week 2. The biggest fear is that he will be robbed of his explosive nature for much of the season. The Chiefs added bruiser Peyton Hillis to replace Thomas Jones. Charles will have to do a lot with limited touches to be effective for fantasy purposes. We are not so sure that will happen before the second half of the season. His 15th overall average draft placement is a tough pill to swallow. He has more value in PPR leagues and should be drafted as a risky second fantasy back.

24) Adrian Peterson | Minnesota Vikings | 6-foot-1, 217 pounds | 6th year

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
2933331521167110125056360403241216

Fantasy analysis: The prototype for fantasy football workhorse running backs has a busted wheel after tearing medial collateral and anterior cruciate ligaments in his left knee Dec. 24, 2011. The running back position is the most difficult for players to come back effectively within 12 months from such a surgery. His reputation has him being drafted as the 10th back off the board, which is borderline insane. However, we feel compelled to give AD the benefit of the doubt given his freakish athleticism and build. Closely monitor his offseason progress. He will fluctuate in our rankings based on how he is coming along, but barring a setback this is probably as low as you will see Peterson ranked.

Page 5 offers tips on fantasy football sleeper running backs that you need know.

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About Cory J. Bonini

Cory is KFFL's General Manager. In late 2002, he joined the KFFL staff as a research analyst and has been involved in fantasy sports since 1996. A member of the Fantasy Sports Trade Association, as well as Fantasy Sports Writers Association, Bonini has been featured in print, on radio and on scores of websites. Bonini co-hosted Big Lead Sports on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio from 2011 to 2012.

Bonini was recognized with the 2010 Best Article in Print Award from the FSWA and was a finalist for the same award in 2011. In '11, he finished first overall in the FSWA NFL experts challenge that featured 60 of the industry's best competitors.

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