Fantasy Football Player Analysis: Quarterback

by Cory J. Bonini on August 6, 2012 @ 15:15:25 PDT

 

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7) Matt Ryan | Atlanta Falcons | 6-foot-4, 220 pounds | 5th year

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
606656403453440648062832121415254373012833

Fantasy analysis: The only NFL offensive coordinator (Mike Mularkey) Ryan has ever known has been replaced by Dirk Koetter, who has plans to open up the passing game. Second-year wideout Julio Jones is a dangerous playmaker, and we all know what Roddy White is capable of. The days of ground-and-pound with Michael Turner may be a thing of the past. Tight end Tony Gonzalez returns for what he says is his final season. Atlanta has to put points on the board if they want to go deeper in the playoffs, especially being in such a prolific offensive division. Ryan posted career highs in yardage (4,177) and total touchdowns (31) in 2011 in a restrained offense. He makes for a fantastic breakout candidate if you're looking to make a midrange gamble. His ADP is at the seventh- to eighth-round turn.

8) Michael Vick | Philadelphia Eagles | 6-foot, 215 pounds | 10th year

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
12317360110969136961035475738841824814

Fantasy analysis: We are probably too low on Vick. His upside and the Eagles' offensive approach suggest he could be a top-three quarterback this year, but injury concerns have us projecting him for a shortened season. In all reality, Vick is one of two or three quarterbacks in the NFL that could put up bigger fantasy numbers than Aaron Rodgers. The dynamic quarterback has made strides in his development as a passer, yet his style of play leaves him open to too many hits. The Eagles' offensive line has undergone a few changes this offseason, notably on the left, which isn't Vick's blindside. Philly boasts one of the deepest, most talented receiving corps in the league, and running back LeSean McCoy can be added to that group. Vick is the ultimate boom-or-bust pick. If healthy, he is a top-flight fantasy option at the position. Being realistic, you count on him to miss a few games. Vick comes off the board in the late fourth or early fifth round, on average.

9) Tony Romo | Dallas Cowboys | 6-foot-2, 223 pounds | 10th year

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
534584328378393743372731131516261242012732

Tony Romo, QB, Dallas Cowboys

Fantasy analysis: We pegged Romo as a sleeper QB last year, and he did not disappoint. The veteran quarterback tossed 31 touchdowns to just 10 interceptions, completed 66.3 percent of his throws and broke 4,100 passing yards. Romo would have been much more hyped had it not been for three quarterbacks breaking 5,000 yards. This year, he is a little lower on our rankings. The Cowboys appear to have found a legitimate running game with DeMarco Murray. Miles Austin, Dez Bryant and Jason Witten should be enough to keep Romo in the top-10 fantasy quarterbacks, though. Draft him as a midrange No. 1 with little risk. He is being drafted, on average, in the early eighth round.

10) Josh Freeman | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6-foot-6, 236 pounds | 4th year

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Fantasy analysis: Freeman is coming off a disastrous 2011 season after a marvelous sophomore campaign, but we have high hopes for him in his fourth year. He has an improved offensive line - possibly the best in the league now. Vincent Jackson comes in to give the Bucs a strong vertical presence and to free up Mike Williams to see single coverage. The tight end position is bolstered, on paper anyway, with the exchange of Kellen Winslow for Dallas Clark. Tampa drafted Doug Martin to be their primary rusher; he is a capable pass-catching back. The Buccaneers play in a division that will require more offense, so don't let new head coach Greg Schiano's power-running background fool you. They will remain committed to the run, but their passing game is what will win ballgames. Freeman lost 20 pounds in the offseason in an effort to become more mobile. The pressure to live up to expectations isn't as apparent as it was last year, which is a major positive for a young quarterback. Freeman's 13th-round ADP makes him an absolute steal in fantasy leagues. Draft him as a high-end No. 2 and expect rock-solid No. 1 production.

11) Eli Manning | New York Giants | 6-foot-4, 225 pounds | 9th year

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
514564321371370741072731141616262454012732

Fantasy analysis: Eli is coming off a career fantasy year and may have a tough time replicating it. He threw for 4,933 yards and 29 touchdowns. His 8.4 yards-per-attempt average marked a career high; it was fueled by Victor Cruz's breakout season. No. 1 receiver Hakeem Nicks is rehabbing a broken foot, and Cruz will have a tough time living up to last year's standards. New York may lean more on the run after drafting David Wilson in the first round. The tight end position was decimated by injuries late last year, and career underachiever Martellus Bennett at 290 pounds looks more like a blocker than pass-catcher. The Giants have a brutal schedule, too. Manning should be good and will have several big weeks, but the consistency needed in a top-notch fantasy passer probably won't be there. He is a low-end No. 1 that you should consider in the middle rounds; a sixth-round ADP makes him slightly overvalued.

12) Peyton Manning | Denver Broncos | 6-foot-5, 230 pounds | 15th year

2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
61066041346348785278444811131929-921014449

Fantasy analysis: Manning (neck) looks the part health-wise this offseason. Consider him a wild card that could make or break your season. Denver has a quality offensive line, potentially lethal targets and a competent running game. Manning may be rusty early on. Even still, No. 18 gives you more upside than any 15-year veteran has ever offered. Draft him with caution, securing a backup earlier than normal, as a low-end No. 1 or ideal QB2. His ADP is the seventh round. Our ranking may be a little conservative, and we will closely monitor his offseason, adjusting his ranking accordingly.

There are are lot of other quarterbacks to review, find out who falls into 13-18 on the next page....

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About Cory J. Bonini

Cory is KFFL's General Manager. In late 2002, he joined the KFFL staff as a research analyst and has been involved in fantasy sports since 1996. A member of the Fantasy Sports Trade Association, as well as Fantasy Sports Writers Association, Bonini has been featured in print, on radio and on scores of websites. Bonini co-hosted Big Lead Sports on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio from 2011 to 2012.

Bonini was recognized with the 2010 Best Article in Print Award from the FSWA and was a finalist for the same award in 2011. In '11, he finished first overall in the FSWA NFL experts challenge that featured 60 of the industry's best competitors.

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