Fantasy baseball player profiles - 1B

by KFFL Staff on April 2, 2012 @ 09:00:27 PDT

 


KFFL.com's fantasy baseball rankings are based on our fantasy baseball projections, but a ranking doesn't always reflect a player's optimal position in fantasy baseball drafts. Use these player profiles in conjunction with our free Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide to get the whole story.

Albert Pujols, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim | Age: 32 Bat: R Ht: 6-2 Wt: 230 Elig: 1B

Atlanta Braves 1B Freddie Freeman
Freeman on verge of breakout?

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
57981166281004.287.355.499.854

With the slight differences in his old and new park in HR suppression, plus the intangibles and desire that he has to prove his worth, Pujols stands a pretty good chance to "bounce back" in 2012. We would all be so lucky to have a down year like his 2011, no? While the long-term trends indicate that The Machine will no longer be releasing his best versions of roto seasons, his output is still among the best, relative to the rest. He may not be under warranty anymore, but he came with an extended service plan. Don't overthink this one, please. -NM

Adrian Gonzalez, Boston Red Sox | Age: 29 Bat: L Ht: 6-2 Wt: 225 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5687216420981.289.347.461.808

Shoulder injury lingered last year and is a likely explanation for his career low FB percentage (32.1%). Expect a bounce-back in the power department if his shoulder is healthy, which appears to be the case. BABIP soared with the move to Fenway because A-Gon's perfection of the "off the Green Monster" technique, but hit rate likely to drop some. Still, BA should hover around .300. Definite first-round material in a mixed league at a position where depth moves fast. -KH

Joey Votto, Cincinnati Reds | Age: 28 Bat: L Ht: 6-3 Wt: 220 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5719717228907.301.420.522.942

A slow HR start didn't curtail Votto's 2011 value. He still boasts a perfect storm of plate skills, including top-end BB%, BB/K and line-drive rates that neutralize his slightly below-average contact frequency. Votto boasts less HR upside than other top-end 1B but will reside around the 30 benchmark; his .300-plus BA profile while playing in a hitter-friendly park increases his allure. He's a sturdy mixed first-rounder. -TH

Prince Fielder, Detroit Tigers | Age: 27 Bat: L Ht: 5-11 Wt: 268 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
60084176321081.293.384.510.894

Fielder rebounded in the BA department last season, thanks to bumps in his contact and line-drive rates. DET not as hitter-friendly as MIL, and some of his opposite-field shots might stay in the park, but his pop plays everywhere. Elite BB/K, BA that'll near 2011 level make him one of fantasy's top 1B and a worthy first-rounder. -TH

Eric Hosmer, Kansas City Royals | Age: 22 Bat: L Ht: 6-4 Wt: 230 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
61584178198010.289.348.441.789

Any 1B that can add double-digit SB deserves attention. Hosmer, of course, has much more going on for him: natural power progression in each year of professional baseball; in-play clips that profile to stay above .300; manageable K rates that bode well for BA improvement. BA probably won't shoot up as quickly and emphatically as his power will in the near future, but this is a profile to get behind for the short and long term. He's worth a pick among the top 10 mixed 1B, and he'll cost a pretty penny, especially after the bigger names go. Given the state of 1B, paying the tax is justified. -TH

Mark Teixeira, New York Yankees | Age: 31 Bat: B Ht: 6-3 Wt: 220 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4285810523761.245.331.472.803

Teixeira probably hit the quietest 39 HR in recent memory. His recent track record of pull-happiness scares many off of his BA potential; his 3-year upward trend of fly-ball frequency adds to that. But any minimal success in trying to go the opposite way will make his BA more palatable - not 2009 level, but not as poor as it has been the last 2 seasons. Even with his flaws, he's still in the top 2 tiers of mixed 1B, worth a selection sometime in the second round. -TH

Paul Konerko, Chicago White Sox | Age: 36 Bat: R Ht: 6-2 Wt: 215 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
23523648290.272.344.413.757

2010: high average on balls in play. 2011: unusually high rate of hard-hit balls. In 2012, don't bank on either. Expect a mild decline in BA and, likely, power production. All in all, Konerko is still a pretty reliable consolation prize at first base in any setup, but at some point, age will begin to become an evident drawback. It's not clearly going to be this year, so don't be overly worried that you'll turn out to be the sucker. -NM

Ike Davis, New York Mets | Age: 24 Bat: L Ht: 6-4 Wt: 230 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
385499017523.234.333.416.749

Davis' recovery from an ankle sprain and bone bruise was slowed in 2011 by some setbacks, mostly caused by the limitations the wrapping put on it. Still, he was on his way to surpassing the promise he showed in 2010. Citi Field's more favorable new dimensions will help, but his power isn't dependent on environment. Believe more in numbers vs. LHP from 2010 than those from his 2011 stint. Contact % not ideal but was on the rise last year. Recovery could cause your opponents to overlook him, making him a mixed CI profit commodity to the tune of 20-plus HR, with the upside for 30, and a less hurtful BA than similarly priced options. -TH

Lance Berkman, St. Louis Cardinals | Age: 36 Bat: B Ht: 6-1 Wt: 220 Elig: 1B OF

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Berkman's 2011 revival was helped by healthy knees. More mobility meant he got around on more inside pitches, leading to increased LD%, familiar power to go with sustained CT%. Finished hot, but power dropped off late. If he continues to hack frequently, especially on outside-the-zone offerings, it could bite back if his bat starts slowing. Put at least one injury in pen. Can he keep defying age and stave off lower-body injuries? Berkman good for 20-plus HR and unhurtful BA, but some might overpay for last year. He doesn't boast much upside unless doubt makes him dirt-cheap. -TH

Gaby Sanchez, Miami Marlins | Age: 28 Bat: R Ht: 6-2 Wt: 225 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
32336828401.254.345.390.735

Sanchez's BA was hurt by a poor 2H BABIP. He was still scorching the ball but didn't see many results. Was a July hamstring injury affecting his performance, especially his 2H power fade? The arrival of Jose Reyes gives him more talent to drive in. Will the new MIA park help HR more than Sun Life Stadium did? Top-notch BB/K, still-growing pop mean Sanchez has a breakout season in him, but even his new baseline can be serviceable even if that brekathrough never comes. -TH

Adam Lind, Toronto Blue Jays | Age: 28 Bat: L Ht: 6-1 Wt: 220 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4586012420671.271.340.463.803

Lind improved vs. LHP, but the overall BA improvement didn't come through in the last 2 seasons. Is he more like 2008-2009 or 2010-2011 in that department? BABIP and contact rate dwindling could be sign of a new approach. Blame a second-half drop-off for making his numbers much worse. An increase in liners means he's making better contact, which provides hope of more of them falling for hits. He's typically pull-happy, so that'll leave him prone to slumps, but his natural power remains attractive for a mixed CI. -TH

Carlos Lee, Houston Astros | Age: 35 Bat: R Ht: 6-2 Wt: 265 Elig: 1B OF

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Lee took more BB last year and wound up looking more like his vintage self. OK, 30 HR would be a stretch, but his 5-HR Sept. points to a rebound there. Struggles vs. RHP continue to limit BA upside, even with his frequent contact. He'll replicate 2011 but won't revisit his peak clip years. Seekers of low-upside OF or CI filler can call his name with relative confidence; he still owns enough fragments of past skills to remain useful. -TH

Paul Goldschmidt, Arizona Diamondbacks | Age: 24 Bat: R Ht: 6-3 Wt: 245 Elig: 1B

St. Louis Cardinals 1B Lance Berkman
Repeat for Berkman?

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
57196162329912.284.375.525.900

Consider Goldschmidt a Mike Stanton type at a scarcer position that you can nab at a cheaper price. This isn't Chris Davis; there's clip hope. Oppo-field skills mean he can have .270ish BA eventually. Don't pay for that now, though; in fact, the K risk he presents could ticket him to the minors for a bit, as well. Still, HR drive his value and make him worth chasing despite that downside. This mixed CI could easily reach 30 HR in 2012. -TH

Freddie Freeman, Atlanta Braves | Age: 22 Bat: L Ht: 6-5 Wt: 225 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
57691166261012.288.366.484.850

Freeman's first MLB season showed the combined promise of his budding power and ability to square up. His weak BB/K, however, makes him reliant on high in-play clips - not a stretch for annual consistency given his liner-friendly profile but a pattern that must not in order for him to sustain helpful clips. His issues vs. LHP jeopardize that. How will his mobility hold up with his added bulk? Sometimes that hurts more than it helps a player of his already big stature. His immediate ceiling, especially for HR, isn't as high as his long-term career arc. He's a suitable mixed 1B option but not as ideal as he is a CI. -TH

Ryan Howard, Philadelphia Phillies | Age: 32 Bat: L Ht: 6-4 Wt: 240 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4775111625750.243.305.465.770

Howard's recovery from a torn Achilles' tendon already hit a speed bump with an infection cleanup procedure. Now you'll probably have to wait a full two months to get him back. His already hole-filled swing likely won't recover to 2009-2010 levels, especially if he can't leverage pwoer in his lower half. This looms over his already horrid contact skills and will add risk to someone who should merely be considered a stash lotto ticket. -TH

James Loney, Los Angeles Dodgers | Age: 27 Bat: L Ht: 6-2 Wt: 205 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5165114710662.285.337.401.738

Is the power explosion finally coming for Loney? He hit 8 HR over the last two months of 2011. A fly-ball boost backs it up, but given his penchant to hit for doubles, not really many HR, skepticism is the safer path. Still, when mixed CI options are running out, at least you know Loney has the tools to provide at least a competent BA. He's not ideal for his position, but he could be improving; that'll stick out in dire draft circumstances. -TH

Mark Trumbo, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim | Age: 26 Bat: R Ht: 6-4 Wt: 220 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5947814633986.246.300.466.766

It's clear the Halos want this thumper in their lineup. Problem is, if Kendrys Morales (leg) proves and stays healthy, consistent PT could be hard to come by. The promise of 3B eligibility makes him that more tempting, but how fast can he learn the position, and will he stick? Rehabbing of a foot injury has blurred that picture. With not much reliable fantasy depth at the corner spots, his power is still tempting late in mixed leagues and as a solid buy in AL leagues. -KH

Adam LaRoche, Washington Nationals | Age: 32 Bat: L Ht: 6-3 Wt: 205 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4817012018713.249.343.410.753

Washington doesn’t provide a comforting home environment for LaRoche's potential to restore past glory. Playing time could be an issue if a platoon is instituted. His shoulder remains a question. The best part is not many are willing to pay to test it. Throw out 2011; his poor health made it an improper example of his skills. Could be an attractive 2H buy; he's used to that designation anyway. -TH

Mitch Moreland, Texas Rangers | Age: 26 Bat: L Ht: 6-2 Wt: 230 Elig: 1B OF

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4285211220631.262.323.460.783

Carlos Pena, Tampa Bay Rays | Age: 33 Bat: L Ht: 6-2 Wt: 225 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
741015270.203.330.324.654

Pena, 33, bounced back to a degree in 2011, but there has to be growing concern about his decline in power production. With just 28 HR in each of the past two seasons, his ISO has failed to come close to the .300 threshold. It's becoming more difficult to trade the hit in BA for the home run and RBI totals. The relocation to a neutral ballpark will only hurt that trend. Maybe a platoon situation could help him. He sees fewer and fewer fastballs each year, and they're more and more the sinking or cutting variety. The four-seamer is about the only pitch he hits well. Couple his sub-70 percent rate of contact with dipping power, and you have an unattractive target in AL leagues. In deep mixed leagues, it's much more tempting just to leave him to his fate on the waiver wire. He should still be an asset in OBP leagues, though. -NM

Todd Helton, Colorado Rockies | Age: 38 Bat: L Ht: 6-2 Wt: 210 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Chris Davis, Baltimore Orioles | Age: 25 Bat: L Ht: 6-3 Wt: 230 Elig: 1B 3B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
54979147381012.268.350.545.895

Adam Dunn, Chicago White Sox | Age: 32 Bat: L Ht: 6-6 Wt: 285 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5156110832851.210.317.431.748

In Dunn's first season in the American League, he had trouble punishing fastballs and became an even bigger liability vs. LHP. Dunn came back too quickly from his April appendectomy. That probably caused faulty mechanics to contribute to his tanking. His drop in HR/FB and ghastly infield fly-ball rate hinted the plane of his already lumbering swing was corrupted. For all his warning signs, however, Dunn could reward the opportunistic when the mixed CI payoff outweighs the risk. Dunn still belongs to one of the most advantageous home parks and lineups and can take walks with the best of 'em. His realistic HR baseline hovers closer to 20 than 40, but his history of approaching the latter justifies a bargain purchase with moderate confidence for a rebound effort. -TH

Yonder Alonso, San Diego Padres | Age: 24 Bat: L Ht: 6-2 Wt: 240 Elig:

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5064714611626.289.356.411.767

Safer PT bet with Anthony Rizzo out of the picture. Has displayed advanced plate discipline in the minors, which could translate to BA success at the big league level - high CT% will help his cause - just don't expect it right away. The power was coming along at the end of his stint with the Cincinnati Reds, but his new digs won't assist this whatsoever. -KH

Aubrey Huff, San Francisco Giants | Age: 35 Bat: L Ht: 6-4 Wt: 225 Elig: 1B OF

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Derrek Lee, free agent | Age: 36 Bat: R Ht: 6-5 Wt: 240 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Justin Smoak, Seattle Mariners | Age: 25 Bat: B Ht: 6-4 Wt: 230 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4565211120540.243.335.417.752

His slow 2010 rookie campaign made his heap of hype look like a Smoak screen, but don't ignore the off-field and injury hardships he endured in his sophomore outing. Smoak would clear his head and hit 12 homers over the first three months, but a freak thumb injury and fractured nose halted him. He had a promising September. Smoak's BA in the bigs hasn't reflected it, but his BB/K has been sound. His power could soon have its turn as he grows into his MLB skin. He sacrificed a bit of walk-taking in September when he wielded a better boom stick, but it isn't unfounded that he can soon balance these attributes. Last year he hit 10 of his 15 homers at pitcher-friendly Safeco Field. AL-only managers and deep mixed corner-infield marketers could have a 20-plus-HR steal. -TH

Mat Gamel, Milwaukee Brewers | Age: 26 Bat: L Ht: 6-2 Wt: 230 Elig:

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Post-hyper Gamel will finally receive an extended opportunity. Luckily, it will be at 1B, not 3B, giving him a better chance to hold it down defensively. His improvement in K% means he could be coming of age. Power has always been there; that's the reason you buy him. Any success in solving LHP and making more contact will make his BA less painful. A decent NL-only bargain to try given how weak the 1B crop is, and if not late-round deep-league fodder, he'll be an inseason pickup in mixed leagues. -TH

Daric Barton, Oakland Athletics | Age: 26 Bat: L Ht: 6-0 Wt: 205 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
32838835292.253.352.345.697

Casey McGehee, Pittsburgh Pirates | Age: 29 Bat: R Ht: 6-1 Wt: 220 Elig: 3B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4455210313661.231.290.378.668

Justin Morneau, Minnesota Twins | Age: 30 Bat: L Ht: 6-4 Wt: 235 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4966713722790.276.340.472.812

Near the end of last season, Morneau underwent three surgeries along with his ongoing post-concussion issue. He reportedly hasn't felt symptoms of the latter, but that's risky business in any spot. How will surgery on his top hand affect his power? His MVP numbers from the past loom, but remember his tenuous power potential from a HR-demanding position and, even more importantly, the fragility of someone with his extensive brain-jarring history. Even if Morneau makes significant progress this spring, don't make the same mistake of considering him before healthier options with fewer health concerns. He's a flier in mixed leagues and a shaky AL-only first sacker. -TH

Bryan LaHair, Chicago Cubs | Age: 29 Bat: L Ht: 6-5 Wt: 240 Elig:

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Jesus Guzman, San Diego Padres | Age: 27 Bat: R Ht: 6-1 Wt: 215 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
276347112424.257.327.460.787

Casey Kotchman, Cleveland Indians | Age: 29 Bat: L Ht: 6-3 Wt: 215 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Anthony Rizzo, Chicago Cubs | Age: 22 Bat: L Ht: 6-3 Wt: 220 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5987916428915.274.355.485.840

Chris Parmelee, Minnesota Twins | Age: 24 Bat: L Ht: 6-1 Wt: 230 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
14215354160.246.323.408.731

Brett Wallace, Houston Astros | Age: 25 Bat: L Ht: 6-2 Wt: 250 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
68816380.235.297.426.723

Matt LaPorta, Cleveland Indians | Age: 27 Bat: R Ht: 6-2 Wt: 215 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Jim Thome, Philadelphia Phillies | Age: 41 Bat: L Ht: 6-3 Wt: 250 Elig:

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Jason Giambi, Colorado Rockies | Age: 41 Bat: L Ht: 6-3 Wt: 250 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
12411265150.210.310.379.689

Brandon Allen, Oakland Athletics | Age: 26 Bat: L Ht: 6-2 Wt: 235 Elig: 1B

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Brett Pill, San Francisco Giants | Age: 27 Bat: R Ht: 6-4 Wt: 210 Elig:

2012 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Facebook Twitter Google +

Fantasy Baseball Player Profiles: C | 1B | 2B | 3B | SS | OF | DH | SP | RP

About KFFL Staff

KFFL, part of USA TODAY Sports, has been turning fantasy sports players into winners since 1996!

We are your one stop for all of your fantasy football, baseball, NASCAR, hockey and basketball needs all year long.


Don't miss these great reports....

What do you think? Sound off!



Recent KFFL releases