Fantasy Baseball Analysis Draft: Round 21

by KFFL Staff on February 16, 2012 @ 15:37:56 PDT

 


Rnd: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28
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1) Brandon Belt, 1B/OF, San Francisco Giants

Team: Steve Gardner, USA TODAY/Sports Weekly | Roster

On this pick, I went for upside with one of my favorite sleepers for 2012. Belt has hit for power and average throughout the minors but was overmatched when he started last season on the major league roster. He went back to the minors and resumed raking, which shows there shouldn't be any long-term damage to his confidence. It may just be a matter of getting good pitches to hit since his 1-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio in the minors ballooned to nearly 3-1 in the majors.

2) Ryan Doumit, C, Minnesota Twins

Team: Ray Flowers, Baseball Guys/SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio | Roster

San Francisco Giants 1B Brandon Belt
Tighten the Belt

Of all the remaining backstops, Doumit is the one I can see going .275-15-70 if he can stay healthy. Per 450 at-bats in his career: .271-15-61-54-2.

3) Marco Scutaro, SS, Colorado Rockies

Team: Joe Hamrahi, Baseball Prospectus | Roster

With just J.J. Hardy and Neil Walker at SS and 2B respectively, I really needed someone who was a safe bet to fill a middle infielder role and back up my starters. Marco Scutaro does just that. While Scutaro is far from flashy, he'll consistently give you 10 home runs, a solid .280-.285 batting average and plenty of runs if given regular playing time. Marco should also get a boost from the thin air in Colorado and a move to a less demanding position.

4) Matt Capps, RP, Minnesota Twins

Team: Pasko Varnica, Mastersball | Roster

Capps may not be a top closer, but he is well entrenched in Minnesota. Unless an injury strikes one of my closers, my team will begin the season with three players assured to have a closer role.

5) Jhoulys Chacin, SP, Colorado Rockies

Team: Howard Bender, FanGraphs | Roster

Not too much of a risk here in the 21st round, but such high reward potential. He tired out in the second half of 2011 but could be primed for a big bounceback season as he builds arm strength and endurance. Potential to produce like a No. 2 starter.

6) Ryan Dempster, SP, Chicago Cubs

Team: Mark Chamberlin, Baseball Sharks | Roster

I'm buying the bounceback. His ERA was more than a run higher than his FIP and his K-plus-BB rates maintained at previous levels. On a team without WHIP problems (i.e. mine), Dempster is a gold mine this late.

7) Ben Revere, OF, Minnesota Twins

Team: Nicholas Minnix, KFFL | Roster

One of my favorite late-round targets for stolen bases. The upside lies with 40-plus possible thefts, and, in my opinion, there's little downside, because I don't expect PT to be an issue, despite news suggesting otherwise.

8) Justin Morneau, 1B, Minnesota Twins

Team: Bill Macey, Baseball HQ | Roster

The concern about Morneau's health can't be overstated, but when healthy, he's been a top-1B option. At the cost of a 21st-round pick, there's almost no downside, and the potential upside is huge.

9) John Mayberry Jr., OF, Philadelphia Phillies

Team: Josh Shepardson, The Hardball Times | Roster

Minnesota Twins OF Ben Revere
SB upside at its finest

After getting jerked around, Domonic Brown is banished to Class AAA to start the year. Mayberry had a breakout year in under 300 plate appearances in 2011, and he offers plenty of power. Sneaky source of stolen bases as well.

10) Jonathan Lucroy, C, Milwaukee Brewers

Team: Doug Anderson, RotoExperts | Roster

It was late in the evening and I was waiting to make the steal of the draft. Then John Mayberry Jr. was taken from my grasp by Josh Shepardson (don't blame me if his tires get slashed). Lucroy, however, fills the bill as a nice solid second catcher with room for a little upside.

11) Jason Bay, OF, New York Mets

Team: Tim Heaney, KFFL | Roster

I believe in many of the undervalued and sleeper Metropolitans. Moving in the left field fences at Citi Field will push Bay back toward 20 homers. So will health. He'll steal about 10 bags, as well.

12) Brandon McCarthy, SP, Oakland Athletics

Team: Jeff Paur, RTSports | Roster

McCarthy is a reason you can wait on pitching come draft day. He is going to be the No. 1 for the A's, and I was able to nab him in the 21st round. Sure, he isn't too exciting, but he proved last season he can pitch at a high level and help fantasy teams. I think he can win 15 games and approach 200 strikeouts finally having that complete season.

Rnd: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28
League Home Page | Scoring Rules | Rosters | Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide

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