Fantasy Baseball Analysis Draft: Round 1

by KFFL Staff on March 14, 2012 @ 12:41:39 PDT


Rnd: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28
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1) Matt Kemp, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers

Team: Steve Gardner, USA TODAY/Sports Weekly | Roster

With the first pick of the draft, the decision to take last year's most valuable fantasy performer was easy. Sure, there are plenty of reasons why Kemp probably won't repeat his .324, 39 HR, 40 SB season, but at age 27 and at the peak of his career, he could certainly come pretty close. No other player in the game today provides that kind of power/speed combination.

2) Miguel Cabrera, 1B, Detroit Tigers

Team: Ray Flowers, Baseball Guys/SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio | Roster

Albert Pujols was a strong consideration, as was Troy Tulowitzki, but ultimately I decided on Cabrera for three reasons: the addition of Prince Fielder, the fact that Cabrera can hit .340 and the soon-to-be third base eligibility he will pick up.

3) Albert Pujols, 1B, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

Team: Joe Hamrahi, Baseball Prospectus | Roster

I selected Pujols with the first overall pick back in 2010 and came out on top of K-BAD that year. If it worked then, there's no reason it shouldn't work now, right? Albert may not be the same player he was coming off a monster season in 2009, but he's still a hitting machine. There aren't too many guys who have "off years" by hitting .299/.366/.541. Pencil him in to hit .310 with 35 homers, 115 RBI, and 100 runs.

4) Troy Tulowitzki, SS, Colorado Rockies

Team: Pasko Varnica, Mastersball | Roster

No other position has a drop of player value as steep as SS. Being this a 12 team league, I am confident that other positions will be filled adequately after dedicating the first round pick on the top SS. Expected are 30-plus HR and a BA of slightly over .300.

Boston Red Sox OF Jacoby Ellsbury
Ellsbury leaps into top 10

5) Jose Bautista, OF/3B, Toronto Blue Jays

Team: Howard Bender, FanGraphs | Roster

I don't expect the batting average to stay near .300 again, but that kind of power at a position that thins out so quickly is a no-brainer. The eligibility in the outfield is an added bonus for roster flexibility, so it leaves my options open over the next few rounds.

6) Joey Votto, 1B, Cincinnati Reds

Team: Mark Chamberlin, Baseball Sharks | Roster

A part of me wanted Evan Longoria with this pick because I expect a huge bounce back from him, but even at his best he only matches Votto's production. Stay conservative early on, take risks later.

7) Adrian Gonzalez, 1B, Boston Red Sox

Team: Nicholas Minnix, KFFL | Roster

I expect to opt for a first baseman in one of the first two rounds of a mixed draft; the production a top-tier one offers dwarfs that of the rest of the class. A-Gon is elite and adapted to Fenway Park beautifully. Surgery on his shoulder was more than a year ago, and now it's at full strength - more bombs.

8) Robinson Cano, 2B, New York Yankees

Team: Bill Macey, Baseball HQ | Roster

Cano meets many of my ideal first-round draft pick attributes: consistent high level of performance; healthy and relatively young; plays on a great team that offers ample R and RBI opportunities; and fills a scarce position. The only thing he doesn't do is steal bases, but I suppose nobody is perfect.

9) Evan Longoria, 3B, Tampa Bay Rays

Team: Josh Shepardson, The Hardball Times | Roster

Longoria fought through injuries and saw his average suffer from a .239 BABIP, but his walk rate and strikeout rate were at single-season bests in 2011, and his isolated slugging (ISO) trailed only that of his dynamic debut. A healthy Longoria will be a force in 2012. He'll fill a scarce position with 30-plus bombs, an average north of .275, a truck load of runs and RBI and a handful of stolen bases.

10) Jacoby Ellsbury, OF, Boston Red Sox

Team: Doug Anderson, RotoExperts | Roster

He will not hit 30-plus homers again, but will still be a huge five-category package. If HR go down, SB go up. The Boston offense will keep Ellsbury valuable as long as he's healthy.

11) Prince Fielder, 1B, Detroit Tigers

Team: Tim Heaney, KFFL | Roster

Comerica Park's deep power alleys will subtract some taters, but Prince will wallop enough 30-plus to keep his spot among elite first sackers, a group whose membership continues to dwindle. I'll sleep easier after netting Miguel Cabrera's new bash brother.

12) Carlos Gonzalez, OF, Colorado Rockies

Team: Jeff Paur, RTSports | Roster

A tough choice for me between Gonzalez and Justin Upton. I just felt Gonzalez has more upside for the huge season. He had a down year last year and still was among the best fantasy outfielders. He is in shape and motivated to put 2011 behind him. I like his chances for another MVP-type season. I was hoping to land Prince Fielder in this spot but he went the pick before me. Go figure.

Rnd: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28
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