Fantasy football sleepers: RB - Week 13

by Cory J. Bonini on December 1, 2011 @ 11:58:41 PDT

 


In this article KFFL breaks down the fantasy football sleepers of the week. We will avoid marquee names because players of that caliber are rarely benched, regardless of their matchup. Instead, we will focus on the players that make your fantasy lineup decisions stressful each week. Read on to learn which midrange to low-end players you wouldn't necessarily consider that you need to get into your lineup.

Note: All statistics are from Week 9 to Week 12, unless otherwise stated.

Fantasy football sleepers: Running backs

New York Jets RB Shonn Greene
Go Greene in Week 13

DeAngelo Williams, Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Fantasy value: High-end No. 2

  • Williams has come to life the past two weeks with a total stat line of 25-142-2. He also added 32 yards through the air. The Panthers are likely to ride the hot hand, and it couldn't come against a better opponent.
  • Tampa Bay has allowed the most average standard fantasy points (30.5) per game in the last month to the position. Rushers have averaged 154.5 ground yards, 6.50 receptions, 63.8 aerial yards and 1.75 offensive touchdowns per matchup. That's 218.3 offensive yards per game and an average of 5.3 per carry!
  • Williams isn't so much of a sleeper, but he has been tough to play most of the season. Make sure he is in your Week 13 lineup.

Marion Barber III, Chicago Bears vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Fantasy value: No. 2 or flex

  • The Bears will rely more on the run with Caleb Hanie under center, and that means Barber is seeing more touches. In the past two weeks, he has rushed 17 times for 88 yards and scored one on the ground. He is worthy of a play if you are looking to gamble on a cheap touchdown.
  • KC has given up two rushing scores in the last month. They have allowed an average of 132.0 rushing yards, 4.00 receptions and 45.0 receiving yards per game.

Shonn Greene, New York Jets at Washington Redskins

Fantasy value: No. 2 or flex

  • One reason Greene has yet to break out in 2011 is the Jets' inability to get up early and close out games. They have a legitimate chance of doing that this week, and Greene could pound the rock late in the game, as long as he stays healthy throughout the contest. He has averaged 12.00 rushes and 56.3 rushing yards in his last four outings, two of which have been cut short because of injuries.
  • Washington had a highly ranked run defense several weeks into the season, but a lot has changed since that point. In the last month, the 'Skins have allowed an average of 29.5 attempts, 107.5 rushing yards, 0.50 ground scores, 4.75 receptions, 31.0 receiving yards and 0.50 aerial touchdowns each week.

NEW - Toby Gerhart, Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos

Fantasy value: No. 2 or flex

  • Though the Vikes aren't ruling out Adrian Peterson (ankle) for Week 13, it's hardly a safe bet that he'll play. When AD missed Week 12, Gerhart compiled just 44 yards on 17 totes for a 2.6 average. At least the sophomore found the end zone and added two receptions.
  • Gerhart's role as main carrier should come in handy versus a Broncos D that, while improving, has struggled versus opposing RBs; they've allowed an 118.5 ground yards, 6.5 receptions, 60.8 receiving yards and 0.75 offensive scores per game to the position.
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About Cory J. Bonini

Cory is KFFL's General Manager. In late 2002, he joined the KFFL staff as a research analyst and has been involved in fantasy sports since 1996. A member of the Fantasy Sports Trade Association, as well as Fantasy Sports Writers Association, Bonini has been featured in print, on radio and on scores of websites. Bonini co-hosted Big Lead Sports on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio from 2011 to 2012.

Bonini was recognized with the 2010 Best Article in Print Award from the FSWA and was a finalist for the same award in 2011. In '11, he finished first overall in the FSWA NFL experts challenge that featured 60 of the industry's best competitors.

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