Fantasy Baseball Hot Stove: Bryce Harper, Matt Moore and new Super Two rule

by Nicholas Minnix on November 23, 2011 @ 12:07:08 PDT


Your fantasy baseball draft isn't far off.'s Fantasy Baseball Hot Stove surveys free agency, trades, salary arbitration and injuries that will affect your rotisserie or head-to-head baseball league. You're cleared for your MLB offseason program: The Arizona Fall League, Baseball Winter Meetings, Rule 5 draft and more will shape your fantasy baseball rankings.

New labor agreement between MLB, players' union will affect Super Twos

Major League Baseball, in conjunction with the MLBPA, announced on Tuesday a new five-year CBA that includes some radical changes. Any of the new policies could prove to have effects on fantasy baseball leagues in the future, but those effects may prove to be miniscule, if they're even noticeable, save one.

Tampa Bay Rays SP Matt Moore
Moore time to wait?

Under the new agreement, more players (22 percent) will qualify for Super Two status, up from 17 percent under the old CBA. Roto players should expect this to influence the decisions of some teams to delay further the promotion of top prospects. Specifically, cost-conscious teams like the Tampa Bay Rays will be most wary of the impact of the new tenet.

In the past few seasons, prospect hounds expected the end of May or beginning of June to be the target range for the ascension of fresh big-league talent. Moving forward, that time frame will probably be nearer to the end of June, or perhaps even the beginning of July.

Rays pitcher Matt Moore is a prime piece of roto beef who has gone in the middle and late rounds of early winter mixed-league mock drafts. Tampa Bay's financial limitations may prove to be a bigger factor than folks expect if they're so high on the studly southpaw, but this development should take a bit of the wind out of that sail.

The Washington Nationals are reportedly open to the idea of allowing uber-talent Bryce Harper to compete for an opening-day lineup spot. But if he doesn't make the club, the Nats probably won't be in a rush to bring him up. Money was undoubtedly a factor in Stephen Strasburg's debut date.

Will this change shape the Arizona Diamondbacks' plans for Jarrod Parker, Trevor Bauer and Tyler Skaggs? Parker, who debuted at the end of last season, is closest by most accounts. The Snakes were probably planning to let him, along with Bauer, compete for a spot in ST. It'll be interesting to see how this unfolds, especially if they're forced to consider the long-term costs of their other young players sooner than expected.

Those in AL-only, NL-only and keeper leagues are unlikely to alter their strategies. Managers in single-year mixed leagues should be conscious of it in their drafts or auctions, however. Roster space is valuable, and the cost of the commitment to stash a highly coveted prospect just went up a tad.

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About Nicholas Minnix

Minnix is baseball editor and a fantasy football analyst at KFFL. He plays in LABR and Tout Wars and won the FSWA Baseball Industry Insiders League in 2010.

The University of Delaware alum is a regular guest on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio and Baltimore's WNST AM 1570.

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