Fantasy football analysis draft: Round 15

by KFFL Staff on September 2, 2011 @ 15:45:16 PDT's Fantasy Football Analysis Draft (FAD) brings you behind the scenes on all 16 rounds of an actual fantasy football league draft. Each of our experts participating give you their analysis on why they took the player they did. This is not a mock fantasy football draft; this league will be played out during the course of the 2011 fantasy football season ... each participant is drafting to win!

1) Nate Kaeding, place kicker, San Diego Chargers
Team: Ryan Dodson | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: Before last season's injury-marred campaign, Kaeding made 88 percent of his kicks the previous five seasons. I opted to scoop him up here and start the run rather than take a starting player as Mr. Irrelevant to conclude the draft. The Chargers' offense is potent, and he should have plenty of opportunities to split the uprights.

2) Alex Green, running back, Green Bay Packers
Team: Tim Piotrowski | Team Roster | League Scoring

Chicago Bears WR Devin Hester
Hester's role to increase

Reason and statistical expectations: I took Green here as insurance for running back Ryan Grant, but it could also be beneficial if running back James Starks gets injured as well. At this point, Green probably will not see a lot of time initially but could be productive as the season progresses, especially as a receiver out of the backfield, because he played in a spread offense in college. I am not expecting much but would be happy with 600-700 total yards, around 35 receptions and a couple of touchdowns.

3) Sebastian Janikowski, place kicker, Oakland Raiders
Team: Jack Douglas | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: Entering his 12th season, Janikowski is coming off another reliable season. In 2010, he made 33 of 41 field goals and was perfect on all 43 extra points kicked. It was the most field goals of his solid career. With the improvement of the Raiders, he should post similar numbers this season.

4) Devin Hester, wide receiver, Chicago Bears
Team: Keith Hernandez | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: Head coach Lovie Smith on Hester: "He'll be a huge part of the offense." Things can always change, but it doesn't hurt to have that said about your No. 6 receiver heading into the season. Jay Cutler and Hester both seem to be become more comfy in Mike Martz's pass-happy attack this year. Roy Williams hasn't shown that he can be the leading man yet, and Johnny Knox seems to have fallen out of favor. Hester proved effective in his limited work, so if Da Bears do indeed involve him more, he could approach 60 catches and score another four or five times.

5) Alex Henery, place kicker, Philadelphia Eagles
Team: Brian Polking | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: The fact that the Eagles were willing to spend a fourth-round pick on a kicker speaks volumes about Henery's talent. He instantly joins a high-powered offense, which should give Henery plenty of opportunities to put points on the board. David Akers was always one of the top fantasy options at kicker in his time with Philadelphia, and now Henery will fill the same role.

6) San Diego Chargers, defensive team/special teams
Team: Nicholas Minnix | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: The Bolts finished with the top-ranked D in the NFL last season. Not fantasy D, but they were still a decent fantasy commodity, and this talented unit has turned its strength (pass rush) into big-time fantasy points before. More aggressiveness plus an offense that often gives them an advantage and a division that's ripe with decent matchups equals solid pick. Let's shoot for something close to those 47 sacks and 16 picks of 2010 and mix in more than seven - how about 15? - fumble recoveries as a baseline.

7) Kendall Hunter, running back, San Francisco 49ers
Team: Cory J. Bonini | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: Hunter has impressed me in the preseason, and it's no secret that Frank Gore is a softie. Anthony Dixon remains the No. 2 back on the depth chart, but I don't believe for a second that Hunter wouldn't play an extensive role if Gore were to fall to injury. Hunter is a quality receiver and a big-play threat - two things Dixon won't be mistaken for. My expectations aren't high, but I'll stash him for as long as I can get away with it.

8) Stephen Gostkowski, place kicker, New England Patriots
Team: Jared Byrd | Team Roster | League Scoring

Green Bay Packers PK Mason Crosby
Crosby kicks for high-powered O

Reason and statistical expectations: Sebastian Janikowski was ranked first on my draft board among kickers due to his leg strength, but Gostkowski was listed second. Even though he missed the last two months of the 2010 season with a quadriceps injury, he has been able to kick without pain during the preseason. I am looking for Gostkowski, with the Patriots' high-powered offense, to return to pre-injury form and expect him to score 130-140 points in 2011.

9) Denarius Moore, wide receiver, Oakland Raiders
Team: Eric McClung | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: With tight end Zach Miller gone and a bunch of injured wide receivers to compete with, Moore is believed to be headed for the starting lineup and perhaps the focal point of the offense for Skeletor, err, owner Al Davis. Despite going in the fifth round of the NFL Draft, the rookie from Tennessee has nothing but positive buzz surrounding him from an excellent camp. Quarterback Jason Campbell isn't terrible and could be looking Moore's way a lot more frequently than people realize. I'm not claiming to have found this year's Mike Williams, the Tampa Bay version, but I like his situation far more than most rookie receivers', A.J. Green's for example.

10) James Jones, wide receiver, Green Bay Packers
Team: Dan Dobish | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: Jones isn't likely to start, but he'll be part of the powerful offense in Green Bay. If injuries occur and he gets a chance to start, who knows?

11) Dallas Cowboys, defensive team/special teams
Team: Tim Heaney | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: A Rob Ryan-led defense will eventually produce more turnovers and sustain Dallas' already sack-happy tendencies once they get the hang of the system. It might be a rough first few weeks, but I see this team entering the top-seven fantasy realm. They should record around 40 QB takedowns while moving closer to 40 takeaways, hopefully in the form of more picks with an improved secondary.

12) Mason Crosby, place kicker, Green Bay Packers
Team: Ryan R. Bonini | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: League rules forced me to draft a kicker and a defense. I have two picks left so here we are. Crosby will see plenty of opportunities again with this high-octane offense. I'm hoping some of those Aaron Rodgers-led drives stall, putting Crosby in more field goal situations. Anticipating 30 field goals and 50 PATs this year.

How do you feel about each selection? Would you have made the same move? We want to hear your thoughts in the comments area at the bottom of the page. If you disagree with a pick, let your thoughts be known.

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