Fantasy football analysis draft: Round 14

by KFFL Staff on September 1, 2011 @ 12:00:43 PDT's Fantasy Football Analysis Draft (FAD) brings you behind the scenes on all 16 rounds of an actual fantasy football league draft. Each of our experts participating give you their analysis on why they took the player they did. This is not a mock fantasy football draft; this league will be played out during the course of the 2011 fantasy football season ... each participant is drafting to win!

1) Jermaine Gresham, tight end, Cincinnati Bengals
Team: Ryan R. Bonini | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: Typically I'm not one to grab two tight ends, but waiting as long as I did to draft Olsen is making me think two options this year won't be a bad idea to see which sleeper steps forward faster. Gresham had a fine year as a rook (52-471-4) and I see him expanding on it as the safety blanket for Andy Dalton this year. 65 receptions, 600 yards and another four scores are his for the taking.

2) Delone Carter, running back, Indianapolis Colts
Team: Tim Heaney | Team Roster | League Scoring

Detroit Lions DT Ndamukong Suh
Lions will roar

Reason and statistical expectations: Wanted a flier for my RB6. This exciting rook has Joseph Addai's skills game and would step in as the chief back if the vet were to fall to injury. Even in a timeshare, he'll sometimes be useful. Let's start with 700-800 total yards and five total touchdowns, with about 20 receptions; falling into the starting gig will give him Addai-like numbers.

3) Mark Clayton, wide receiver, St. Louis Rams
Team: Dan Dobish | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: [Note: Clayton was a free agent when Dan drafted him.] Clayton's knee is on the mend, and he might sign with former coach Pat Shurmur in Cleveland, or he might re-sign with his old buddy QB Sam Bradford in St. Louis. In either situation, he would be an improvement over some, if not most, of the receivers on the roster. He has a chance to shine if he can get back on the field sooner rather than later.

4) Kyle Orton, quarterback, Denver Broncos
Team: Eric McClung | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: Even though I took Aaron Rodgers in the first round, getting a solid backup QB near the end of the draft is a wise move given this a 12-team league and Rodgers did experience two concussions, missing one start, a year ago. I'd gladly take Orton over Matt Cassel or Mark Sanchez, the last two quarterbacks selected. Those two water pistols handed the ball off more than any other quarterbacks did a year ago. Even though Josh McDaniels is gone, Mike McCoy remains the offensive coordinator so the play calling may not change as much as some may believe. Orton, who posted some very impressive numbers last season before getting hurt, is undervalued because his job is believed to be in jeopardy. Wake up. Tim Tebow sticks. That's why he's now he's barely the third-string quarterback. He stunk last year, too. Tebow's one "good" game came against the worst pass defense in the league, perhaps of all-time, the Houston Texans. Brady Quinn isn't the boogeyman either. Orton is going to be running this show all season, pending injury or an abysmal record.

5) Anthony Armstrong, wide receiver, Washington Redskins
Team: Jared Byrd | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: Armstrong is in the running for the competition to start alongside Santana Moss in D.C. He had 44 catches for 871 yards last season as a rookie, but is unlikely to reach his full potential in 2011 because he will have to battle Jabar Gaffney and Donte' Stallworth for playing time. Expect Armstrong to catch 55-65 passes for 850-900 yards.

6) Detroit Lions, defensive team/special teams
Team: Cory J. Bonini | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: I love what Jim Schwartz and the front office have been able to do with this group. Nick Fairley should return soon from foot surgery, and he'll rotate with Corey Williams. Ndamukong Suh is a man among boys, and Cliff Avril is developing as a pass-rushing end. Linebacker Stephen Tulloch has been reunited with Schwartz, and Justin Durant is a capable starter. This group gets to face the Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears' weak offensive lines twice apiece, too. I'm hoping for close to 40 sacks, 32 total takeaways and at least a pair of defensive TDs.

7) Jason Snelling, running back, Atlanta Falcons
Team: Nicholas Minnix | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: I might have mentioned this, but my depth at running back isn't boffo. I could take a shot on Ben Tate, or Alex Green, some other lottery ticket without serious hope and experience. Or, I could take the guy who has filled in admirably when needed in the past two seasons and would be a near stud if the featured man fell. Snelling is a big-time bruiser with soft hands. Michael Turner isn't injury-prone, but he isn't invincible. As a full-timer, he could easily pile up 100-plus total yards, four or five catches and a TD per game.

8) Marion Barber III, running back, Chicago Bears
Team: Brian Polking | Team Roster | League Scoring

Indianapolis Colts RB Delone Carter
Late-round poachers: Get Carter

Reason and statistical expectations: This is a speculative pick, but up until last season, Barber was a safe bet for seven to 10 touchdowns. Chicago's starter Matt Forte is versatile, but he isn't the goal line threat Barber is. The Bears offense struggled last year, even with Mike Martz calling the shots. Barber could be the missing piece, helping Chicago finish off drives. Even if he doesn't get a lot of carries, he could be useful as a bye week stand-in because of his touchdown potential.

9) New York Giants, defensive team/special teams
Team: Keith Hernandez | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: I'm aware that the G-men have been decimated by injuries this preseason; Terrell Thomas is out for the year after tearing his ACL, and rookie corner Prince Amukamara and sack artist Osi Umenyiora are both out until October. Bruce Johnson also ruptured his Achilles'. It's not pretty, but Jason Pierre-Paul is emerging as a threat to put the opposing QB on his back often, and Justin Tuck is another stud on the D-line. This unit still has the talent to be a top defense, and when they get Amukamara and Umenyiora back in October, they will be that much better.

10) Jacob Tamme, tight end, Indianapolis Colts
Team: Jack Douglas | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: This highly speculative pick depends on two factors: (1) how well Peyton Manning plays this season, after a lockout and pre-season dominated by a neck surgery; and (2) the health of tight end Dallas Clark (hand) who is coming off a broken hand that prematurely ended his 2010 season. Still, I believe Tamme will get his chances. In 2010, he gathered in 67 receptions for 631 receiving yards and caught four touchdown passes. One way or another, I believe the Colts will use this highly talented backup, so I am expecting at least 40 receptions for 500 yards and 2-3 touchdowns, which is acceptable for a backup in our league at tight end. If Clark is re-injured, the numbers will go up considerably.

11) Jacoby Jones, wide receiver, Houston Texans
Team: Tim Piotrowski | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: Jones is entering this season as the No. 3 receiver and could have the chance to win a starting job during the season. He is a part of one of the top offenses in the league and was able to put up decent numbers last season. The team is looking for Jones to make the next step in his development, and I am hoping he grants their wish. I would be happy with around 55 receptions, 600-700 yards and five touchdowns.

12) Donnie Avery, wide receiver, St. Louis Rams
Team: Ryan Dodson | Team Roster | League Scoring

Reason and statistical expectations: The Rams have a number of receivers vying for positions, but none of them offer the deep-threat potential that Avery does. Avery has teased in the past with flashes of breaking out, but he is always hurt. Now in his fourth year, and with the Rams' offense on the cusp of respectability, Avery has a chance to be a fantasy contributor. He has the ability to be a 50-800-7 receiver. It's now or never.

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Rnd: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Rosters
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