Fantasy football analysis draft: Round 12
KFFL.com's Fantasy Football Analysis Draft (FAD) brings you behind the scenes on all 16 rounds of an actual fantasy football league draft. Each of our experts participating give you their analysis on why they took the player they did. This is not a mock fantasy football draft; this league will be played out during the course of the 2011 fantasy football season ... each participant is drafting to win!
Reason and statistical expectations: Evans is the perfect deep threat the Ravens have lacked on offense. I see him catching 50-plus balls for close to 850 yards and seven touchdowns.
Reason and statistical expectations: Back-to-back Browns ... hmmm. Little reminds me of the new Hakeem Nicks - same school, same familiarity with a pro offense and, most importantly, the same physical gifts that define what a late-round flier should be. He could be the main receiving target in the red zone if he eventually emerges.
Reason and statistical expectations: Edwards is such a shaky pick, but in the 12th round, it is a good value if he can live up to his potential. Unfortunately, Alex Smith tossing passes to Edwards, I don't feel confident I'll get more than 600 yards and a handful of scores.
Reason and statistical expectations: Coming off knee surgery, we don't know when Smith will be ready to play and we don't know what role he'll playing when he finally does suit up. However, Smith has said he believes he will start the season on the active roster and not the Physically Unable to Perform list. Jeremy Maclin is working his way back from illness and may not start the season at full speed. DeSean Jackson is extremely erratic and pretty much limited to vertical passes and gimmick plays. So if Smith can get healthy soon, there is plenty of opportunity to reel in a good amount of catches as the Eagles' slot receiver, assuming he supplants Jason Avant. I really have no expectations for Smith, he's my WR4 but could yield a nice return if the stars align, especially in PPR scoring.
Reason and statistical expectations: I base my starting fantasy defense from week to week on whichever matchup is most favorable, so it is likely that I will use another pick at the end of the draft on a second team defense. The Patriots ranked near the middle of the pack in most categories last season but led the NFL in interceptions. Their sack total could also get a boost from Albert Haynesworth, provided he is motivated enough to give 100 percent effort. Expect 20-25 interceptions, 35-40 sacks and five defensive touchdowns from this unit in 2011.
Reason and statistical expectations: Decker has great hands, enough size (6-foot-3) to contribute near the goal line and familiarity with the offense Denver is running because of Mike McCoy's return. Decker is running as the third receiver but could easily move into the starting lineup as the year goes along. I'm hoping he catches around 55 passes for 650 to 700 yards and scores a few times.
Reason and statistical expectations: I don't have much depth at running back. I wouldn't have paid the price for Torain before he broke his hand, but it's a no-brainer now. He has extensive upside but, because of circumstances that are out of his control, has become an afterthought in fantasy football drafts. Roy Helu Jr. has looked brilliant - in vanilla situations - but can't protect the passer. Tim Hightower has looked awesome but is a habitual fumbler and has never demonstrated the kind of ability that Torain possesses. As the press hounds in D.C. note, it seems like everyone has already forgotten what Torain did in 2010. If he stays healthy, he'll regain the reins before the quarter pole of this campaign and be on his way to 1,000 total yards, 30 receptions and seven or eight total TDs.
Reason and statistical expectations: Ray Lewis and Ed Reed aren't getting any younger, but this unit still ranked third in terms of points allowed last season. The Ravens were of only eight defenses to have at least 20 interceptions last season, and the secondary is always good for a couple of defensive scores during the course of the year. I'd like to see a few more sacks out of Baltimore this season, but with two matchups against the Bengals and Browns, I'll take my chances with this consistently productive defense.
Reason and statistical expectations: Drafting a 37-year-old wide receiver isn't exactly intriguing, but Mason is a professional and a veteran that continues to get it done. Mason is listed as the No. 3 receiver on the depth chart, but Plaxico Burress has already dealt with two injuries in the preseason and hasn't played since 2008. Mason isn't flashy, but he'll still pull in 40-50 catches if he can stay healthy.
Reason and statistical expectations: Having concentrated most of my top picks at other positions, I needed a reserve running back for depth. I needed one who has the potential to serve as an adequate fill-in for injuries and bye weeks. Thomas Jones of the Kansas City Chiefs, will serve that role admirably. Though he will be 33 when the season starts, Jones continues to show he has something left to give. In 2010, he rushed for 896 yards and six touchdowns, caught 14 passes and had 122 receiving yards. He makes an adequate fourth running back in a 12-team league.
Reason and statistical expectations: Sanchez has improved each season and has a nice group of weapons around him on offense this year. He threw for at least 250 yards in six games last season and threw for three touchdowns in a game three times, so he has the potential to become a consistent fantasy producer. I would like to see at least 3,500 yards, 20-25 touchdowns and a decrease in his interceptions.
Reason and statistical expectations: In my view, Brown has the best chance to see the most action out of what was left. He's a good receiver out of the backfield and could spell RB LeSean McCoy at times. He has been productive in the past, and could be productive in this PPR league. However, I realize he could be waiver-wire fodder as well.
How do you feel about each selection? Would you have made the same move? We want to hear your thoughts in the comments area at the bottom of the page. If you disagree with a pick, let your thoughts be known.
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