Fantasy football player analysis: Running backs

by Cory J. Bonini on August 31, 2011 @ 07:46:48 PDT

 


Note: All fantasy points references are based on standard scoring without PPR, unless stated otherwise.

1) Adrian Peterson | Minnesota Vikings | 6-foot-1, 217 pounds | 5th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
2933331521167110125056360403241216

Analysis: Peterson has consistently been among the best fantasy backs in the league since becoming the full-time starter in 2008. AD has rushed for at least 1,298 yards and 10 touchdowns in every season of his career; he has improved as a receiver, which has led to 79 total receptions in the past two years. Minnesota jettisoned veteran left tackle Bryant McKinnie in favor of Peyton Manning's former blindside protector, Charlie Johnson, who excels in pass blocking. Three years and 20 fumbles later, All Day put the ball on the turf just once in 2010. Peterson should be rather fresh after carrying the ball only 283 times last year. We expect a much larger workload this year because of the team's questionable passing attack. That may not translate into more fantasy points, though. Fantasy footballers should consider him the safe No. 1 - Peterson's ADP is the second overall selection.

2) Arian Foster | Houston Texans | 6-foot-1, 225 pounds | 3rd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
24628610161166810546035639613913

Analysis: Foster's 2010 season was one for the ages (2,020 total yards, 18 total touchdowns, 66 receptions), and fantasy owners landed him on the cheap. This year ... not so much. Foster was a workhorse (393 touches) and was strong until the final game of the year (31-180-2). He earned 20-plus carries in seven games and caught at least four balls in nine contests. Houston's offensive line returns intact. Foster claimed he played with a torn meniscus in his knee last year, and he has since had the injury repaired. The Tennessee product has the incentive of a new contract dangling in front of him, but he'll have to do it without stud fullback Vonta Leach (Ravens). Could Foster be a one-year wonder? Will he break down after so many touches last year? It appears so, with two hamstring injuries through three preseason games. Fantasy owners don't seem to be terribly worried. He'll be a top-three pick in all formats and has been the consensus No. 1 through ADP figures thus far.

3) Chris Johnson | Tennessee Titans | 5-foot-11, 191 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
1982387979473556623984401348

Chris Johnson, Tennessee Titans
Analysis: CJ2K followed up his monster sophomore display with a very respectable 1,364-yard, 11-touchdown effort on the ground. Don't forget about his 44-245-1 line through the air. Quarterback Matt Hasselbeck enters the starting lineup for the Titans; his presence should keep defenders from stacking the box as much. The whole offensive line returns, and tight end Daniel Graham, one of the best blockers in the league at his position, has joined the club. Johnson ended his holdout; he'll have to work on chemistry with Hasselbeck and avoid conditioning injuries. Johnson has to learn a new offense under Chris Palmer in short order. He is a top-four fantasy choice with potential to finish the year as the No. 1 back.

4) Jamaal Charles | Kansas City Chiefs | 5-foot-11, 199 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
2282681140129079616753759024913

Analysis: Charles' yards-per-carry average has increased every year he has been in the league, as has his workload. His 6.38 yards per tote last year marked the second highest in NFL history in a single season (Jim Brown, 6.4). Head coach Todd Haley told Charles to be prepared for a larger workload, and aging back Thomas Jones isn't much of a threat to steal touches. KC's passing game should improve with the additions of Jonathan Baldwin and Steve Breaston, so Charles may see fewer aerial touches. Charles, while risky, could easily finish as the top back in fantasy football this season. How will he hold up to an increased workload? Star left guard Brian Waters was released, but the team is high on his replacement, Jon Asamoah. Fullback Le'Ron McClain enters the mix, as well. Charles is typically drafted as the fourth overall player. In PPR setups, he could go earlier.

5) Maurice Jones-Drew | Jacksonville Jaguars | 5-foot-7, 208 pounds | 6th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
1712116708204646523053451359

Analysis: MJD's numbers dropped off considerably in the touchdown and reception columns. He posted career lows with five rushing scores and 34 catches. He missed two games last year and underwent cleanup knee surgery in January. Jones-Drew should be 100 percent by the start of the regular season and doesn't expect a decrease in his workload. On the positive side, he averaged a healthy 4.4 yards per rush, resulting in 1,324 yards on the ground. A healthier offensive line will welcome left guard Jason Spitz. Jacksonville hasn't addressed their inexperienced and pedestrian receiving corps this offseason, so look for MJD to see more attention in the passing game if this doesn't change. He could face more stacked boxes if rookie Blaine Gabbert takes over as the starting quarterback. Jones-Drew is usually selected in the middle of the first round in standard formats.

6) Rashard Mendenhall | Pittsburgh Steelers | 5-foot-10, 225 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Rashard Mendenhall, Pittsburgh Steelers
Analysis: The 24-year-old Illinois standout proved his worth in a full season of work last year: 324-1,273-13. A full season of Ben Roethlisberger may not help his cause: Defenders are forced to be more honest, but Mendy topped 20 carries in one-third of his games with Big Ben in comparison to three-fourths of his contests without the quarterback. Mendenhall failed to rush for more than 4.0 yards per carry in nine games, but his 13 touchdowns were spread out over 11 games. Partly because he isn't much of a receiver, Mendenhall's production is usually just good enough and is rarely booming (only three 100-yard games all year); he is overly reliant on scoring touchdowns. The offensive line is essentially the same, and Mendenhall will likely be used as a workhorse again. In non-PPR formats, he is a strong middle-of-the-pack No. 1 and is of the low-end first running back group in reception-awarding formats.

7) Ray Rice | Baltimore Ravens | 5-foot-8, 212 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
22626690910593553593343720237

Analysis: Rice's numbers came down last year with an increased workload and high expectations. His yards-per-carry average dipped from 5.3 to 4.0 and he caught 15 fewer passes. The former Rutgers rusher had the misfortune of dealing with a decimated offensive line in 2010. The Ravens' offense is going through quite the transformation this offseason; Rice, being one of the few stable commodities, could see an increase in involvement. This is even more likely with the departures of Willis McGahee (Broncos) and Le'Ron McClain (Chiefs). Fullback Vonta Leach will now pave the way for Rice, and the offensive line can only be better in '11. The addition of Lee Evans won't impact Rice's aerial work too much. Rice is undervalued, going, on average, as the ninth back off the board. In PPR scoring, he goes slightly earlier and should be a top-four target for you.

8) LeSean McCoy | Philadelphia Eagles | 5-foot-11, 208 pounds | 3rd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
2783181355150510124652419473241216

Analysis: McCoy did not disappoint in his first full season replacing Brian Westbrook. He posted 5.2 yards per carry on his way to 1,080 rushing yards and seven touchdowns, while chipping in 78 receptions with an additional pair of scores through the air. The Eagles' offense is dynamic and affords McCoy the luxury of seeing few stacked boxes. Their offensive line shouldn't be any worse and could even be better if rookie Danny Watkins catches on quickly. Ronnie Brown was added this offseason, but he is insurance and shouldn't carve into McCoy's touches to any notable degree. That being said, Shady is a low-end No. 1 back in non-PPR leagues and a midrange primary back in systems that reward receptions.

9) Frank Gore | San Francisco 49ers | 5-foot-9, 217 pounds | 7th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
22626690910596815211221700169

Frank Gore, San Francisco 49ers

Analysis: We all know Gore's talent is right up there with the best of them, but injuries have derailed his potential all while maddening fantasy owners. He has started 16 games just once in his career and is 28 years old with quite a bit of wear on his tires. Gore has never been much of a scoring threat, but he makes up for that with his receiving prowess. The Niners will have a new offensive system this season, and Gore has ended his short-lived holdout. Don't worry too much about the fractured hip that ended his 2010 season, at least no more than any new injury cropping up. Gore's offensive line should be strong, with three recent first-round choices anchoring the group. Alex Smith returns at quarterback, and San Fran plans to use the heck out of Gore. Draft him as a low-end No. 1 in all formats.

10) Darren McFadden | Oakland Raiders | 6-foot-2, 210 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
1782187969464636423203740248

Analysis: Run DMC put it all together last year and posted the second most average points per game among running backs. Fantasy owners' patience finally paid off. The bad: McFadden missed three games (still hasn't finished a full slate and is recovering from a fractured orbital bone). The Raiders fired head coach and offensive line guru Tom Cable in the offseason, while also losing mauling guard Robert Gallery (Seahawks). Their receiving options took a major hit with the loss of Zach Miller (Seahawks), but that could be a positive for McFadden out of the backfield. PPR owners should be more excited than those in normal setups, but your expectations should be tempered in a major way. McFadden is going as the 10th back off the board, per ADP figures. That isn't necessarily an overvalued placement, but it's a hair earlier than we feel comfortable choosing him.

11) Matt Forte | Chicago Bears | 6-foot-2, 218 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
2412811047119768647049353913711

Analysis: The Tulane back rebounded nicely in 2010 after a somewhat disappointing sophomore season. Forte averaged 4.5 per carry, a career best, while posting lines of 237-1,069-6 and 51-547-3. Chicago's offensive line could be better, but it will have to be through addition by subtraction after releasing center Olin Kreutz. Forte isn't a big-play back and hasn't shown the ability to excel near the stripe. The Bears added short-yardage and goal line specialist Marion Barber III and wideout Roy Williams, both of whom could take touches away from Forte. He goes 20th overall, on average, which is fair placement. Forte is just an average talent but makes for a serviceable second fantasy back.

12) Michael Turner | Atlanta Falcons | 5-foot-10, 244 pounds | 8th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Turner remained healthy all year in 2010 and returned to his pre-2009 self. He racked up 1,371 yards and 12 scores. The Burner runs behind a strong offensive line and has a quality lead blocker in Ovie Mughelli paving the way. Atlanta is looking to open up their passing game with the addition of Julio Jones; Matt Ryan's maturation may force them to get away from the run more often. Turner, who is coming off minor groin surgery, is 29 years old and takes a bruising with nearly every carry. He caught a career-best 12 passes last year, which illustrates how little impact he makes in PPR leagues. Fantasy football leaguers in standard formats should consider him a mid- to low-end No. 1 or a strong second back in point-per-reception models.

13) Shonn Greene | New York Jets | 5-foot-11, 228 pounds | 3rd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
549419934957177490158

Analysis: Greene will take over as the full-time running back in 2011 and should see plenty of carries. The Jets love to run the ball and need to remain reliant on the ground game to keep Mark Sanchez from being set back in his maturation. Greene has to hold on to the ball better and isn't much of a receiver. LaDainian Tomlinson will steal most if not all of the third-down work anyway. Greene has struggled to punch it into the end zone, having scored only four times in his 293 pro carries. Draft him as a midrange No. 2 back that has a ton of upside. He generally comes off the board in the fifth round, which would provide excellent value at that point.

14) Steven Jackson | St. Louis Rams | 6-foot-2, 236 pounds | 8th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
1932337779275738442582990259

Steven Jackson, St. Louis Rams

Analysis: Jackson will have to learn a new offense on the fly, one that hasn't been particularly kind to running backs, especially catching out of the backfield. New England ran the ball well in 2007, but their passing game was as effective as any could ever hope to be. Jackson could be spelled a little by Cadillac Williams and Jerious Norwood, although not enough that you should be overly concerned. Injuries are always a concern for Jackson owners, and the 28-year-old rusher has a lot of miles on his legs. He probably will be good enough to pass as a low-end No. 1 but makes for an ideal No. 2 if you choose to sacrifice drafting an elite wideout in the early second round.

15) DeAngelo Williams | Carolina Panthers | 5-foot-9, 217 pounds | 6th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
1662067438932440464044651337

Analysis: Williams is a very talented back but has fallen to injuries the past two seasons. His career average of 5.0 yards per carry is quite remarkable. The Panthers should be a very balanced offense in 2011, and Williams is a reasonably talented receiver out of the backfield. DAW will split time with Jonathan Stewart, per the usual. He could see a lot of stacked boxes with Cam Newton, Jimmy Clausen or Derek Anderson starting at quarterback, but that's not too much different than when he played for John Fox's extra-predictable offense. Williams is a strong No. 2 back should he remain healthy, and you can have him, on average, in the fourth round.

16) LeGarrette Blount | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6-foot, 247 pounds | 2nd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
79119341491790604701710

Analysis: The upstart Bucs' offense features Blount in the backfield entering the 2011 season. As a rookie, the once maligned brawler started seven games, playing in 13, racking up 1,007 rushing yards and six scores. He fumbled the ball four times (three lost) in 206 touches and caught only five passes all year. Quarterback Josh Freeman made great strides in 2010, and the passing game could open up even more this season, which will create more lanes for Blount. Tampa's offensive line is quite stout, and fullback Earnest Graham is one of the best in the business. Blount comes with some risk, as his strong rookie effort could have his expectations to high, and his bruising style tends to lead to injuries. Draft him as a No. 2 back, with higher placement in non-PPR scoring formats.

17) Ahmad Bradshaw | New York Giants | 5-foot-9, 198 pounds | 5th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
681083034531316221151580215

Ahmad Bradshaw, New York Giants
Analysis: The Giants re-signed Bradshaw to share the backfield with Brandon Jacobs once again. The versatile fifth-year back is coming off a breakout 1,235-yard season. He scored eight times and chipped in 47 receptions. Bradshaw is a multi-talented back but tends to have battles with minor injuries. His yards-per-carry average has decreased every year that his workload has trended upward. The Giants' OL has undergone some changes, which could create chemistry issues with a shortened offseason. Bradshaw is a quality No. 2 in PPR leagues and sneaks into the second back conversation in standard scoring formats. He is drafted, on average, in the early third round.

18) Peyton Hillis | Cleveland Browns | 6-foot-2, 250 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
1757662161361241810114

Analysis: Hillis enjoyed a breakout season in 2010 (270-1,177-11; 61-477-2) as a dynamic rusher and pass catcher out of the backfield. He wore down considerably as the season progressed and will need to share some of the workload if he hopes to remain viable down the stretch. Cleveland's offensive system will change some in 2011, too, with Pat Shurmur taking over as head coach. Montario Hardesty may help ease the pounding on Hillis, whose style of play and the offense in general do not suggest he will be in for a better year in 2011. Losing left guard Eric Steinbach (back) for the year hurts. Draft Hillis as a midrange No. 2 with a slightly higher placement in PPR leagues. He is typically drafted too early as an early second-round pick.

19) Jahvid Best | Detroit Lions | 5-foot-10, 199 pounds | 2nd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Best was supposed to share touches with powerful rookie Mikel Leshoure, but an Achilles' tendon injury to the Illinois product led to the Lions signing Jerome Harrison, who should take over Leshoure's vacant spot. Veteran Maurice Morris is in the mix, too. Best remains, well, the best of the bunch, on paper. He is lightning fast and is over the pair of turf toe injuries that plagued him most of his rookie season. Best is a strong receiver out of the backfield and should only benefit from a healthy showing by Matthew Stafford. The Lions' offense in general is improved, and if the defense does its part, head coach Jim Schwartz will lean on the ground game. Best is a risk-reward pick as your second back and should be a strong weapon in reception-rewarding leagues. He usually goes in the early sixth round but will come off the board earlier in PPR leagues.

20) Daniel Thomas | Miami Dolphins | 6-foot-1, 228 pounds | Rookie

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
387814529513915621040114

Analysis: The Dolphins added Thomas through the draft and then traded for Reggie Bush. The two backs have contrasting styles of play and should be used in different packages. Thomas is pretty good receiver, but Bush is more likely to take over that role. The entire offense will be somewhat different in 2011 under Brian Daboll; expect a more balanced system than what we have seen from the Dolphins in recent years. Thomas should be used as a two-down workhorse and, as long as his blocking is up to par, will spell Bush on third down from time to time. Expect Miami's passing game to be just good enough to keep defenses honest. This system fits Chad Henne's skill set better than the last one did, as it will allow him to make quicker reads and check down more often. Thomas is a third back in all formats. If you can land him as a fourth, you may have a steal on your hands.

21) Joseph Addai | Indianapolis Colts | 5-foot-11, 214 pounds | 6th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Joseph Addai, Indianapolis Colts

Analysis: The Colts re-signed Addai to lead their backfield, which also has Donald Brown and rookie Delone Carter vying for touches. Brown hasn't shown much in his two pros seasons, and Carter could eventually work his way into a goal line role. Addai is a talented receiver and uses his jitterbug moves to elude defenders on the perimeter. He has finished a 16-game season just once - his rookie year - and is coming off an eight-game campaign. The Colts could rely more on their rushing attack this year if Peyton Manning continues to be slow to recover from neck surgery that may cost him Week 1. Addai is a passable No. 2 back in deep leagues but should be considered a better third choice. He most often comes off the board in the seventh round.

22) Mark Ingram | New Orleans Saints | 5-foot-9, 215 pounds | Rookie

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
83123409559241016851360125

Analysis: The backfield situation is a little clearer after Reggie Bush was sent packing to South Beach, but that doesn't mean Ingram is a lock to be a fantasy stud, or even the Saints' leading back. New Orleans extended Pierre Thomas' contract this offseason and still employs a pass-heavy offense. Ingram is a pretty good receiver, but third-down chores probably will belong to Thomas and Darren Sproles until Ingram consistently proves his worth as a blocker. Sean Payton won't put Drew Brees in harm's way if he has any doubts about a rookie's pass-protecting skills. Expect New Orleans' wide-open attack to create ample running lanes for Ingram. Draft him as a low-end No. 2 if you have locked up an elite No. 1, but he's more safely added as a third back in all formats.

23) Ryan Mathews | San Diego Chargers | 6-foot, 218 pounds | 2nd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
256296119513456825311952420169

Analysis: Mathews finished his rookie season with a thump by racking up 120 yards and three scores in the finale. He scored seven times and showed moments of brilliance. The Fresno State product has respectable hands coming out of the backfield as far as receiving goes, but he needs to do a much better job of not fumbling (five, three lost). Mathews will share carries with Mike Tolbert to form a one-two punch, according to head coach Norv Turner. The electric second-year back still has considerable fantasy value and should be drafted as a low-end No. 2 in deep leagues. Mathews is usually drafted in the mid-third round.

24) Felix Jones | Dallas Cowboys | 5-foot-10, 220 pounds | 4th year

Felix Jones, RB, Dallas Cowboys

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Jones has a reasonable chance at breaking out in 2011, given Dallas' improved line and potent passing attack. He is a big play waiting to happen. The Cowboys will use some form of a committee approach this year, and Jones is likely to lose touches near the end zone. He should be considered a third fantasy back with considerable upside. Jones typically comes off the board in the middle of the fourth round.

25) Beanie Wells | Arizona Cardinals | 6-foot-2, 229 pounds | 3rd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Beanie Wells, Arizona Cardinals

Analysis: The trading of Tim Hightower paved the way for Wells to ... be in the same situation he was. A short while later, though, rookie Ryan Williams (knee) was lost for the year, paving the way for more carries for Wells. Beanie appears to be hungry to prove last year should be forgotten. He's leaner and quicker. Wells is worth a midround pick as a third fantasy back.

26) Ryan Grant | Green Bay Packers | 6-foot-1, 222 pounds | 5th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: The Packers seem to be in line to use a committee approach with Grant (ankle) and James Starks. Grant is more proven and a better receiver. Starks is younger and, in theory, fresher than the 28-year-old veteran. Safe money is on Grant being the primary fantasy producer as long as he remains healthy. He goes, on average, in the mid-fifth round.

27) Knowshon Moreno | Denver Broncos | 5-foot-11, 200 pounds | 3rd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
1031434055551317231311770215

Analysis: This may be a make-or-break season for Moreno, who enters a more running back-friendly system than what he has so far played under. Willis McGahee could steal goal line carries and may have a larger role than expected. Moreno has very good hands and is quick to the edge. We see a one-two punch, with McGahee's bruising style up the middle complementing Moreno's open-space game. Moreno is generally drafted in the late third, which is a bit of a reach, but he offers adequate value in PPR leagues.

28) Marshawn Lynch | Seattle Seahawks | 5-foot-11, 215 pounds | 5th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
28232211931343911212717422402913

Analysis: Lynch is an underappreciated fantasy rusher, although his production tends to come in spurts. Beast Mode should be relied on much more in his first full season with the Seahawks; he fits Darrell Bevell's system that features a lot of inside running through traps and isolation plays. Leon Washington and Justin Forsett may snare a few touches from Lynch, but the former Buffalo Bill makes for a nice but unsexy value pick around his mid-sixth-round ADP.

29) Jonathan Stewart | Carolina Panthers | 5-foot-10, 235 pounds | 3rd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
1161564696195781453920158

Analysis: Stewart has to learn a new system, one that is more balanced, but he received his playbook in April and has had time to study. DeAngelo Williams returns, which isn't all that bad. Expect Stewart to have a prominent role near the goal line but not much of one on third downs. He usually goes in the late third round, which is an acceptable placement for him talent-wise, but the offense around him makes him a tenuous pick that early.

30) Cedric Benson | Cincinnati Bengals | 5-foot-11, 227 pounds | 7th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Cincy's offense around him could be miserable. Benson will see stacked boxes and has to learn a new offense, one that his style of play doesn't fit. The former Texas star will lose third-down work to Bernard Scott, and possibly more. Benson has never been a stranger to injuries. He is an uninspiring No. 3 fantasy running back and goes in the early sixth round, per his ADP, which is rather early for a player with so much downside compared to his upside.

31) Fred Jackson | Buffalo Bills | 6-foot-1, 215 pounds | 5th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
1141544886384637432703140147

Analysis: The Bills' offense really hasn't improved - if anything, regression is ahead. Jackson should see the majority of touches, although C.J. Spiller is bound to get more involved. Spiller is a bit of a sleeper, and Jackson really isn't anything special. Yet, he deserves a low-end No. 3 fantasy valuation because of his versatility. His ADP is the early fifth round.

BenJarvus Green-Ellis, RB, New England Patriots

32) BenJarvus Green-Ellis | New England Patriots | 5-foot-11, 215 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
59992253753504-12240136

Analysis: The Law Firm out-battled attorneys for the defense on his way to 13 rushing scores and his first 1,000-yard season last year. For a 26-year-old back, that sounds like a promising start to a budding career. Fantasy owners aren't so keen, though, because of the additions of Stevan Ridley (a similarly styled back) and Shane Vereen through the draft. Kevin Faulk (knee) and Sammy Morris (old) are back but represent nothing really to worry about, though. Draft BJGE as a weak third or strong fourth in near his late fourth-round average placement.

33) Brandon Jacobs | New York Giants | 6-foot-4, 264 pounds | 7th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw will continue to split carries. The punishing Southern Illinois product will be given the first crack around the strip and rarely sees time in passing situations. He has a lengthy history of nagging injuries and missing time, despite playing a 16-game slate last year, but Bradshaw gets nicked often, too. When both are healthy, Jacobs is a fourth fantasy back and a boring pick, but he has a place as a flex back most weeks. His average placement is the late seventh round.

34) Mike Tolbert | San Diego Chargers | 5-foot-9, 243 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
51911953453519251181550237

Analysis: The little wrecking ball earned a place on fantasy rosters last year and will have a sizeable role again, according to head coach Norv Turner. Ryan Mathews will be the perimeter back and the primary third-down option for quick-pass situations, but Tolbert's above-average hands and stout blocking skills will land him considerable on-field time. He's a strong fourth fantasy back, especially in touchdown-heavy formats.

35) Pierre Thomas | New Orleans Saints | 5-foot-11, 215 pounds | 5th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
1381785577073563694665111348

Analysis: Coming off ankle surgery, Thomas is just nearing 100 percent. After signing PT to a four-year deal this offseason, the Saints drafted Mark Ingram. The rookie is expected to see the bulk of the carries; Thomas may do more third-down work than the 2009 Heisman Trophy winner, especially with Reggie Bush now in Miami. PT is a No. 4 fantasy back and a handcuff to Ingram. Thomas' ADP is the early seventh round.

C.J. Spiller, RB, Buffalo Bills

36) C.J. Spiller | Buffalo Bills | 5-foot-11, 193 pounds | 2nd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
18722791910693546523183602459

Analysis: The Bills will make a concerted effort to get Spiller more involved, per his head coach. The second-year back is a quality receiver and has impressive ability in the open field, but he needs to hang on to the rock better than he did as a rookie (five fumbles, three lost). Buffalo may need to rely more on the run if their largely untested cast of receivers cannot produce. Spiller is a fourth fantasy back and can be had in the early 11th round, on average, which illustrates his undervalued status.

37) Reggie Bush | Miami Dolphins | 6-foot, 203 pounds | 6th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
14118161776735596550255335610

Analysis: Bush has something to prove and has a chip on his shoulder. However, that doesn't overcome his injury-prone ways and having to learn a new offense, one less potent than his former employer's. That also works in his advantage, though, since more balls can go his way. Bush is a PPR-only consideration in the No. 4 back territory.

38) Michael Bush | Oakland Raiders | 6-foot-1, 245 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Bush has been quite productive in his limited playing time for the Raiders, but the offense should take a step backward, primarily along the line without Tom Cable and Robert Gallery. Bush is a safety net for Darren McFadden owners.

39) DeMarco Murray | Dallas Cowboys | 6-foot, 224 pounds | Rookie

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
2623021222137268404625829702610

Analysis: Murray will compete for touches behind Felix Jones. Expect the hot hand to earn the bulk of the work any given week, and knowing when to play Murray could be a headache-inducing endeavor. He's a fourth fantasy back in the early stages of the late round of your draft.

40) LaDainian Tomlinson | New York Jets | 5-foot-10, 215 pounds | 11th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: LT returns to the Jets but in the third-down role and should see plenty of receptions out of the backfield. He will likely also cede goal line work to Shonn Greene, unless the younger rusher struggles mightily in this area. Tomlinson is a fourth back in PPR leagues.

41) Willis McGahee | Denver Broncos | 6-foot, 235 pounds | 9th round

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: The Broncos needed a complement to the finesse running of Knowshon Moreno. McGahee has fresh legs and should exceed expectations. His goal line worth alone gives him spot-start value many weeks, and Denver will undoubtedly be a conservative team on this side of the ball. McGahee is an undervalued late-round target as your fourth back.

42) Roy Helu Jr. | Washington Redskins | 5-foot-11, 216 pounds | Rookie

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
44842193690235412562990204

Analysis: This rook has a chance to contribute meaningfully for fantasy owners in 2011. He has the injury-prone Ryan Torain (hand) ahead of him, and a fumbler in Tim Hightower to contend with. Helu is a home run hitter and ideally fits this zone-blocking scheme. Target him as a sleeper fourth back.

43) Tim Hightower | Washington Redskins | 6-foot, 222 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: The former Arizona Cardinal joins a crowded backfield in Washington. Hightower, who is running as the starter with Ryan Torain (hand) out, isn't particularly a good fit for Mike Shanahan's style of offense, and fumbling will cost him reps if the problem also relocated to the D.C. area. Hightower has better value in reception-rewarding leagues and is a fourth RB gamble; ultimately, we think he'll lose his job to Roy Helu Jr.

Donald Brown, RB, Indianapolis Colts

44) Donald Brown | Indianapolis Colts | 5-foot-10, 210 pounds | 3rd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
51912874371315211051470215

Analysis: Joseph Addai's backup hasn't shown much in his first two NFL years, and the Colts added Delone Carter through the draft. Brown progressed in his sophomore season, adding to two games played (13) and improving his yards-per-carry average by three-hundredths of a yard. Brown is fairly valued at his ADP of the ninth round but is far from an exciting choice as a fourth fantasy back.

45) Justin Forsett | Seattle Seahawks | 5-foot-8, 198 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
03991590251135770103

Analysis: Forsett is primarily a handcuff to Marshawn Lynch, but we really don't recommend tying two mediocre players together. PPR owner should value Forsett slightly more as a passable low-end No. 4.

46) Thomas Jones | Kansas City Chiefs | 5-foot-10, 212 pounds | 12th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: He will be 33 years old before the season starts. Consider Jones as a weak No. 4 in very deep leagues, but he is better chosen as a handcuff to Jamaal Charles as your fifth fantasy back.

47) James Starks | Green Bay Packers | 6-foot-2, 218 pounds | 2nd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
3777216366132814580114

Analysis: Fantasy owners are far too eager to waste a midround draft choice on Starks. He needs to prove his worth in pass protection and isn't much of a receiver; oh, don't forget about a healthy Ryan Grant. Starks, in this pass-first offense, is likely to post low-end No. 3 stats. Draft at your own risk.

Ryan Torain, WR, Washington Redskins

48) Ryan Torain | Washington Redskins | 6-foot-1, 218 pounds | 3rd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Torain has talent, but he is also very injury-prone and has missed most all of camp with a hand injury. He will see competition from Roy Helu Jr. and Tim Hightower, who is currently running as the starter.

49) Bernard Scott | Cincinnati Bengals | 5-foot-10, 197 pounds | 3rd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: The Bengals will run a West Coast system this year, which emphasizes throwing to running backs. The slender rusher fits this system well and could scarf touches from Cedric Benson. Scott is a No. 5 in standard leagues and a fourth in deep PPR setups.

50) Toby Gerhart | Minnesota Vikings | 6-foot, 231 pounds | 2nd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
26030093310835731372142550259

Analysis: Adrian Peterson owners should nab Gerhart as a handcuff. The Vikings will run a rather bland West Coast offense, but probably won't be any more predictable than last year's play-calling. Otherwise, view the second-year back as a No. 5 fantasy back in 2011.

51) Darren Sproles | New Orleans Saints | 5-foot-6, 190 pounds | 7th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
31711292790255614464941315

Analysis: Sproles migrated to the Saints in the offseason and should have a similar role to what Reggie Bush was asked to do. The diminutive back is a feisty blocker and should be on the field regularly in clear passing situations. He's a No. 5 back in PPR formats.

52) Ricky Williams | Baltimore Ravens | 5-foot-10, 230 pounds | 11th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: The Ravens will use Williams as a spell to Ray Rice and possibly a goal line back. Draft the 34-year-old rusher as a fifth back in all formats, as well as a handcuff to Rice.

53) Marion Barber III | Chicago Bears | 5-foot-11, 218 pounds | 7th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: MB3 joined the Bears' backfield this offseason and will battle Chester Taylor for the No. 2 job - a clash that doesn't figure to offer Barber much challenge. Handcuff him to Matt Forte in the late rounds of your draft; he has looked fresh this preseason and could surprise around the goal line.

54) Danny Woodhead | New England Patriots | 5-foot-8, 195 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
53932393890261674765232426

Analysis: Woodhead has PPR value, since he should be New England's third-down back. At best, consider him a potential fill-in for your lineup's flex spot. He's a No. 5 fantasy back.

55) Jason Snelling | Atlanta Falcons | 5-foot-11, 223 pounds | 5th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Snelling proved to be a valuable receiver last year, hauling in 44 passes in 14 games. He caught 31 in 14 contests in 2009. Draft him as a handcuff to Michael Turner.

56) Shane Vereen | New England Patriots | 5-foot-9, 205 pounds | Rookie

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
35751673171365715465962437

Analysis: The rookie isn't likely to see the field all too much in 2011, given New England's plethora of bodies in the backfield. Vereen could have occasional value late in the season, primarily in PPR setups.

Rashad Jennings, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

57) Rashad Jennings | Jacksonville Jaguars | 6-foot-1, 228 pounds | 3rd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
2052458489984623291702150248

Analysis: Jennings is coming off a concussion but isn't expected to be affected long term this year. He should be a target for Maurice Jones-Drew owners because of MJD's offseason knee surgery. Jennings is a fifth fantasy back in all formats.

58) Kendall Hunter | San Francisco 49ers | 5-foot-7, 199 pounds | Rookie

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
468624239213176430114

Analysis: The Oklahoma State product dazzled in his second preseason game (9-105-1) and may have earned himself more touches. Frank Gore is always injured it seems, so Hunter may have a springboard into the starting lineup any given week. He's a handcuff and a fifth fantasy back.

59) Jerome Harrison | Detroit Lions | 5-foot-9, 205 pounds | 6th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Harrison seems to be No. 1 in line for touches behind Jahvid Best in Detroit. He is a low-end No. 5 or sixth flier choice.

60) Montario Hardesty | Cleveland Browns | 6-foot, 225 pounds | 2nd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: A devastating knee injury cost him his rookie season in 2010, but Hardesty has been cutting and looks sharp in practice. He's a late-round flier in deep formats.

61) Ronnie Brown | Philadelphia Eagles | 6-foot, 230 pounds | 7th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: LeSean McCoy owners: You have little to worry about with the former Miami Dolphin in town. Brown is a chance-of-pace and spell option for the Eagles; at best, handcuff him to McCoy.

62) Jacquizz Rodgers | Atlanta Falcons | 5-foot-6, 196 pounds | Rookie

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
44841753250234402352760204

Analysis: Rodgers has looked competent as a rookie so far. He may serve as the third-down back on occasion, as long as his pass blocking is up to snuff. He's a No. 5 flier pick in deep leagues with PPR scoring.

63) Stevan Ridley | New England Patriots | 5-foot-11, 225 pounds | Rookie

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
2022428801030911410246001912

Analysis: Ridley has enjoyed a strong preseason and could have earned himself more playing time. He will have to contend with several other backs ahead of him, in a passing offense, no less. Consider him a late-round flier.

64) Javon Ringer | Tennessee Titans | 5-foot-9, 207 pounds | 3rd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: The driving force behind Ringer's fantasy value was Chris Johnson's holdout. Since he has reported, Ringer is relegated to handcuff status once again.

65) Cadillac Williams | St. Louis Rams | 5-foot-11, 217 pounds | 7th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Williams should serve as a third-down back on occasion and a primary backup to the injury-prone Steven Jackson. He's a handcuff or a flier in very deep leagues.

66) Lonyae Miller | Dallas Cowboys | 6-foot, 232 pounds | 1st year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Miller has impressed in training camp but has struggled mightily in preseason play. Watch his development throughout the remainder of the preseason and consider him a last-round gamble if he turns it around.

Mike Goodson, RB, Carolina Panthers

67) Mike Goodson | Carolina Panthers | 6-foot, 212 pounds | 3rd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Once considered a sleeper, Goodson saw his chances of living up to that billing ruined with DeAngelo Williams' re-signing. Leave him for the wire in all standard leagues.

68) Maurice Morris | Detroit Lions | 5-foot-11, 216 pounds | 10th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: The veteran back will compete for touches. It appears as though Jerome Harrison will be the No. 2, so ignore Morris for now.

69) Delone Carter | Indianapolis Colts | 5-foot-9, 225 pounds | Rookie

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: The rookie will vie for touches with Donald Brown behind Joseph Addai. Carter's fantasy worth may come as a goal line back.

70) Anthony Dixon | San Francisco 49ers | 6-foot-1, 233 pounds | 2nd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
1353271770204-9170103

Analysis: Dixon fits Jim Harbaugh's style of play as a running back but shouldn't see much work unless Frank Gore goes down. In that event, Dixon would be the No. 1 and share touches with Kendall Hunter.

71) Tashard Choice | Dallas Cowboys | 5-foot-10, 212 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: The versatile Choice is in position to toil away in 2011, unless Dallas sends him packing. He's a speculative pick at the end of deep drafts.

72) Leon Washington | Seattle Seahawks | 5-foot-8, 203 pounds | 6th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Primarily a kick returner, Washington will see token touches on offense but shouldn't be drafted.

73) Ben Tate | Houston Texans | 5-foot-11, 219 pounds | 2nd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
22326389710474637432042370248

Analysis: The talented second-year back looked sharp in his first preseason game (9-95-1) but will have a hard time finding meaningful touches in the regular season. Handcuff him to Arian Foster in deep leagues.

74) Jerious Norwood | St. Louis Rams | 5-foot-11, 209 pounds | 6th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Norwood missed all but two games last year and will see spot duty as a change of pace out of the backfield. He should be left for your waiver wire.

Steve Slaton, RB, Houston Texans

75) Steve Slaton | Houston Texans | 5-foot-9, 206 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: He has no fantasy value in Houston, but Slaton (hamstring) could re-emerge on the fantasy landscape if he is traded or released. A speculative pick as a stash player is acceptable.

76) Brandon Jackson | Cleveland Browns | 5-foot-10, 216 pounds | 5th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: The Browns wanted touse Jackson as a change-of-pace back to Peyton Hillis, but Montario Hardesty (knee) is starting to look like the back Cleveland envisioned when they drafted him a year ago and Jackson (toe) could be headed for Injured Reserve.

77) Jalen Parmele | Baltimore Ravens | 5-foot-11, 222 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Sitting third on the depth chart, Parmele likely would need an injury to Ricky Williams before he has any fantasy value.

78) Anthony Allen | Baltimore Ravens | 6-foot, 230 pounds | Rookie

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Run Att Run Yds Run TD Rec Rec Yds Rec TD Tot TD
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Allen is struggling with fumbling problems and may not make the final roster if he continues to put the ball on the ground. He is fourth on the depth chart and has no fantasy value at this time.

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QB | RB | WR | TE | PK | DT

About Cory J. Bonini

Cory is KFFL's General Manager. In late 2002, he joined the KFFL staff as a research analyst and has been involved in fantasy sports since 1996. A member of the Fantasy Sports Trade Association, as well as Fantasy Sports Writers Association, Bonini has been featured in print, on radio and on scores of websites. Bonini co-hosted Big Lead Sports on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio from 2011 to 2012.

Bonini was recognized with the 2010 Best Article in Print Award from the FSWA and was a finalist for the same award in 2011. In '11, he finished first overall in the FSWA NFL experts challenge that featured 60 of the industry's best competitors.

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