Fantasy football player analysis: Quarterbacks

by Cory J. Bonini on August 31, 2011 @ 14:02:38 PDT

 


Note: All fantasy points references are based on standard scoring without PPR, unless stated otherwise.

1) Aaron Rodgers | Green Bay Packers | 6-foot-2, 225 pounds | 7th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
512562332382412545253438794353182212243642

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers

Analysis: A-Rod has proven his elite fantasy worth over the past three seasons. The Packers' offense has a lot of talent and remains committed to moving the ball through the air. Rodgers' aerial supporting cast includes a receiving corps led by Greg Jennings and tight end Jermichael Finley. Jordy Nelson, James Jones and Donald Driver all factor into the passing game any given week. Their offensive line lost left guard Daryn Colledge (Cardinals) and backup center/guard Jason Spitz (Jaguars) - worth noting, not earth-shattering news. Rodgers is a safer bet as the top fantasy passer than Michael Vick is, so it really comes down to your aversion of risk. Rodgers typically comes off the board in the late first round.

2) Michael Vick | Philadelphia Eagles | 6-foot, 215 pounds | 10th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
12317360110969136961035475738841824814

Analysis: Vick should be considered no worse than the No. 2 fantasy quarterback in all circles. What he did in 12 games last year was more than any passer accomplished in 16. The Eagles have improved overall, but it is tough to expect Vick to replicate last year's extrapolated totals. His style of play leaves him open for injury more so than most passers. Now that opponents have had a lot of time to breakdown footage of him, will he be shut down more regularly? Dynamic talent all around him on offense, a pass-first offensive mentality and Vick's ability to make plays with his legs (nine rushing TDs in 2010) all point to another strong season from the veteran. Draft him as your top passer, but be prepared to pay dearly (No. 7 overall ADP).

3) Drew Brees | New Orleans Saints | 6-foot, 209 pounds | 11th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
63668641346348065206364013151727939133743

Analysis: Any quarterback having topped 4,300 passing yards five straight years is impressive to say the least. Brees leads a pass-happy Saints' offense that now potentially has a stud running back in rookie Mark Ingram in the mix. A deep receiving corps, led by Marques Colston, with an up-and-coming stud tight end is only as good as an ultra-protective offensive line. Last year, Brees tossed 22 interceptions as the Saints seemed off many weeks. Four of his INTs came in a fluky loss to the Cleveland Browns, a game in which he heaved 56 passes while playing catch-up. Expect that number to come down into the low to mid-teens. Brees is coming off the board, on average, in the late second round. He is about as safe and consistent as they come; draft with confidence.

4) Tony Romo | Dallas Cowboys | 6-foot-2, 223 pounds | 9th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
534584328378393743372731131516261242012732

Analysis: Forget about last season - at least Romo's broken clavicle. He is 100 percent healthy and has looked sharp this offseason. The enthusiastic Eastern Illinois product was completing passes at a career-best 69.5 percent clip last year and was on his way to 25 touchdown passes. Romo finished no worse than 10th in fantasy points from 2007 to '09; his 2008 campaign ended in a second-place result. The Cowboys have a lot of talent in Dez Bryant, Miles Austin and Jason Witten, not to mention a potentially lethal backfield. The 'Boys upgraded their offensive line through the draft, while re-signing key pieces from last season's front five. The best value at the position this year is Romo and his late sixth-round average draft placement.

5) Tom Brady | New England Patriots | 6-foot-4, 225 pounds | 12th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
6146643864364459485932368101929939023238

Analysis: Brady picked up where he left off after his one-game 2008 season. He has completed 65.8 percent of his passes, throwing just 17 total interceptions, in the last two years. His 9:1 touchdown-to-interception ration of 2010 is mind-blowing, and that was largely without Randy Moss. This year, add Chad Ochocinco to a pass-catching stable that includes Wes Welker, Deion Branch, Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez. His offensive line returns intact with improved depth. Brady underwent surgery on his right foot, but it has since healed completely. His current ADP of the late third round is a more than fair spot for a quarterback that fell six points shy of finishing atop the positional fantasy points board in 2010.

6) Philip Rivers | San Diego Chargers | 6-foot-5, 228 pounds | 8th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
530580344394419945992933121420303262022935

Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers

Analysis: Rivers' three straight years of at least 4,000 yards and 28 touchdowns has fantasy football owners excited for what could be next out of this star in his prime. Rivers regains Malcom Floyd, and Vincent Jackson will return as his top wideout. Tight end Antonio Gates (foot) is still battling plantar fasciitis but has looked pretty good in preseason play. Rivers has made a name for himself by putting up big numbers with backup players (see Week 9 and Week 11) last year, so don't be terribly worried if he loses any key targets. Continuity along the offensive line should help, and Norv Turner seems more enamored with the passing game than ever before. That could change if Ryan Mathews runs hog wild early on, but this team is built for airing it out. Rivers is typically a fourth-round choice, a fair placement for his services.

7) Peyton Manning | Indianapolis Colts | 6-foot-5, 230 pounds | 14th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
61066041346348785278444811131929-921014449

Analysis: Manning's 679 attempts in 2010 marked the first time in his career that he topped 600 throws. His 17 interceptions thrown may seem high, but at one per 39.9 attempts, it was the sixth best ratio of his career. Manning is coming off his second neck surgery and could miss Week 1; we expect him to play. No. 18 could start slowly, but more concerning is he'll have a rookie left tackle protecting his blind side after the defection of Charlie Johnson (Vikings). Reggie Wayne, his top target, turns 33 this season; Dallas Clark once again failed to finish a season, and Austin Collie is probably one concussion away from retirement. Peyton has made do in the past, though. Manning is an early third-rounder, on average, but understand you are assuming more risk than ever before in this 35-year-old star.

8) Matt Schaub | Houston Texans | 6-foot-5, 240 pounds | 8th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
5045543133633451385121251214818-525012126

Analysis: Look at that ... consecutive 16-game seasons that have produced 9,000-plus passing yards and 53 touchdowns! Schaub, who is in his prime, has proven he can get it done if protected. He regressed ever so slightly in 2010 after a magnificent breakout '09 effort, but most of that can be attributed to Arian Foster's emergence on the ground. Every notable offensive player, minus fullback Vonta Leach, returns, and tight end Owen Daniels will be almost two years removed from a devastating knee injury. You can be sure of a few lapses as their improved defense transitions to a 3-4 alignment. Schaub is a cheaper alternative to the top four and can give you nearly as much production. If you like to let others draft the big-name passers, target this underappreciated signal caller as your No. 1. His ADP of the mid-seventh round makes him practically a steal.

9) Matt Ryan | Atlanta Falcons | 6-foot-4, 220 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
606656403453440648062832121415254373012833

Analysis: Ryan is on the verge of becoming a fantasy stud, and the Falcons gave him more weapons than ever before. He has the luxury of throwing to Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez, with newly added toy Julio Jones already drawing rave reviews in training camp. This offense should open up enough to make Ryan a legit fantasy starter every week. He threw 571 times last year, set a career high in completion percentage (62.5) and tossed 28 touchdowns to just nine INTs. How can you go wrong? The only downside - something we expect to see improve with the Jones addition - is Atlanta's lack of downfield passing (Ryan averaged only 6.5 yards per attempt last season and 2009). He comes off the board, on average, in the late ninth round, which is robbery at its finest.

10) Ben Roethlisberger | Pittsburgh Steelers | 6-foot-5, 241 pounds | 8th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
5485983393893925432526301113243484114022632

Analysis: Big Ben is a bit undervalued right now. Perhaps it is a byproduct of his 12-game season a year ago, but it's more likely related to a deep quarterback class for fantasy purposes. If you are looking for proven upside, Roethlisberger should be on your radar. He is slightly risky given Pittsburgh's run-first philosophy and his lengthy but minor injury history. Big Ben is capable of 25-plus passing scores and nearly 4,000 yards with the talent around him in the passing game. Also, he has scored at least two times on the ground every year since his rookie season. Mike Wallace has developed into a true No. 1, Hines Ward remains serviceable, as with tight end Heath Miller, and Pittsburgh has a few youthful prospects that could step up. Draft Roethlisberger (early seventh-round ADP) as a midrange No. 1 once the sure bets are off the board.

11) Josh Freeman | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6-foot-6, 248 pounds | 3rd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Josh Freeman, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Analysis: Owners are gaga over Freeman after his breakout sophomore season. He threw 25 touchdowns and only six interceptions all year. The offense took shots downfield (averaged 7.3 yards per attempt), and Freeman completed a fair 61.4 percent of this throws. He buys time with his feet to make extra plays through the air. Tampa Bay has what appears to be a legit ground game in LeGarrette Blount to help take pressure off Freeman, whose targets include Kellen Winslow and Mike Williams. Consider us skeptical, however. He threw five touchdowns (only game with more than two) against a Seattle defense that tied for the third most passing scores allowed. Draft Freeman with caution, and be sure to procure a strong backup. His early ninth-round ADP is fine, but don't be overzealous and draft him too early. 

12) Matthew Stafford | Detroit Lions | 6-foot-3, 232 pounds | 3rd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
636686386436482452242933151726365686133036

Analysis: Stafford has all of the physical tools to be a star in the NFL. Blessed with a cannon for an arm, the former Georgia Bulldog can make any throw on the field. He has plenty of weapons, headlined by Calvin Johnson, and a potentially strong backfield to rely on. Stafford's biggest problem has been his ability to stay healthy; for all intents and purposes, he is still a rookie with only 13 career games played. Draft Stafford (ninth round ADP) as a low-end No. 1 in deep leagues and as a strong backup with immense upside. After all, can he really miss substantial time in three straight years?

13) Jay Cutler | Chicago Bears | 6-foot-3, 233 pounds | 6th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
48453429534536424042252915172535128158022531

Analysis: Last year, Cutler shaved 10 interceptions off his 2009 total, something that seemingly would be impossible in Mike Martz's throw-caution-to-the-wind(y city) offense. The former Denver Bronco stormed out of the gates with five TD passes in his first two games, but a four-game lull (only two scores) was followed by an erratic second half of the season. He tossed at least three touchdown passes in four games following Week 9, but he failed to score in three games while doing so just once in another contest. You have to take the good with the bad and pick your spots with Cutler. An improved receiving corps is nice, although the already shaky offensive line may have taken a collective step backward with the loss of Olin Kreutz. Consider Cutler a low-end starter but a better spot play; he typically is selected in the 10th round.

14) Joe Flacco | Baltimore Ravens | 6-foot-6, 245 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
5275773173673630403021251113253595125132228

Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens

Analysis: Flacco made strides in 2010 but still didn't jump enough to make the needle move much for fantasy owners. The offense and a lack of proven talent in the receiving corps could severely hamper the fourth-year passer. Flacco's favorite target, Derrick Mason, was released and has since signed with the New York Jets. Veteran tight end Todd Heap is now an Arizona Cardinal. Lee Evans joins the mix and has shown chemistry with the Delaware product in preseason play. Flacco may have to rely on a pair of rookie receivers behind Anquan Boldin. Baltimore's offensive line could be shaky once again, too. Draft Flacco, who typically goes in the early 10th round, as a strong backup and consider him as a matchup play when warranted.

15) Eli Manning | New York Giants | 6-foot-4, 225 pounds | 8th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
514564321371370741072731141616262454012732

Analysis: The youngest Manning boy topped 4,000 yards for the second year in a row, and Eli also threw 31 touchdown passes (career high) in 16 starts. He hasn't missed a game in his career. The bland Ole Miss product can offer up big weeks for fantasy owners, as illustrated by five games with at least three touchdown passes last year. He threw 25 passes to the other team, however. If Manning can limit his turnovers (30 in all), fantasy footballers have a midrange No. 1 on their hands. Don't count on that happening, though, and draft Manning has a high-end backup. He goes, on average, in late ninth round.

16) Ryan Fitzpatrick | Buffalo Bills | 6-foot-2, 225 pounds | 7th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
45950927232229953395182216183343152182021824

Analysis: The Harvard Man broke out, sort of, in 2010. He started 13 games, throwing 3,000 yards and 23 touchdowns while lobbing 15 interceptions. Buffalo's offense doesn't push the ball downfield very well - or often - thus limiting his value. Fitz had a breakout receiver in Stevie Johnson, but the receiving corps is largely suspect behind the potential one-year wonder that Johnson may be. Expect plenty of attempts if he holds up for 16 games, and Fitzpatrick has enough upside to be drafted as a strong No. 2 behind a Tom Brady, Drew Brees or Aaron Rodgers. Fitz typically goes in the early 15th round, providing a lot of room for value and little worry of risk.

17) Matt Cassel | Kansas City Chiefs | 6-foot-4, 230 pounds | 7th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
3944442302802944334414181214243472102011419

Analysis: His second year with the Chiefs was rather kind to Cassel, who threw 27 touchdowns and only seven picks in 2010. He is held back by physical limitations in terms of athleticism, but Cassel fits the system well enough and it is molded around him where he doesn't. Charlie Weis is gone to the collegiate ranks again, leaving slight tweaks to be digested as Todd Haley likely reclaims the play-calling chores. Some weeks Cassel will light it up, but he doesn't deserve fantasy consideration as more than a backup or a weekly spot starter. His ADP is the early 13th round. 

18) Sam Bradford | St. Louis Rams | 6-foot-4, 228 pounds | 2nd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
498548300350335637562327101214243161012328

Sam Bradford, St. Louis Rams

Analysis: The Rams welcome offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels into the mix, but that doesn't necessarily mean Bradford is primed for a boom year. Only in his second season, the former Oklahoma Sooner star will need to learn another offense in a shortened offseason, all while trying to gain chemistry with a host of new teammates in the receiving corps. Expect a lot of throwing, which often translates into many yards and numerous turnovers for a young quarterback. Bradford is worth a look as a second quarterback but isn't as likely to make the jump to the next level as some prognosticators seem to think he is.

19) Kevin Kolb | Arizona Cardinals | 6-foot-3, 218 pounds | 5th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Kolb will be given every opportunity to shine for the Cardinals, and it doesn't hurt that he has star wideout Larry Fitzgerald on the receiving end of his throws. Arizona plays in a defensively weak division and will likely need to throw a lot, especially if their ground game fails to live up to par again. No one really knows what Kolb is or how he'll handle learning a new offense. He doesn't take many chances downfield and, actually, checks down too much for fantasy owners' preferences. Virtual footballers are rolling the dice on Kolb in the 15th round, on average. You could do much worse for a late-round backup, and he has enough upside to believe Kolb could develop into a spot starter or, even better, a trade-worthy commodity.

20) Kyle Orton | Denver Broncos | 6-foot-4, 225 pounds | 7th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Orton has been just better than average for the past two seasons as the Broncos' starting quarterback. Fantasy owners know him as a middle-of-the-road backup and spot starter, which he may struggle to live up to in 2011. Tim Tebow may be breathing down his neck all year, and as soon as Orton struggles, you can be sure the pressure to play Timmy Ra-Ra will be felt. What figures to be a run-first, conservative offense should hinder Orton the most. He is a No. 2 fantasy quarterback in deep leagues, but make sure you are not in a position to count on him more than one game this year, because he may not be there for you. His 18th-round ADP figure will trend upward soon.

21) Tarvaris Jackson | Seattle Seahawks | 6-foot-2, 225 pounds | 6th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
034-1931-11928102-1107-8220103

Analysis: T-Jax's name draws snickers and laughs in most NFL, as well as fantasy, circles. Don't be so quick to dismiss him, as he was jerked around and rarely given enough of a chance to excel in Minnesota. Pete Carroll will not make that same mistake. The Seahawks have placed a lot of talent around Jackson, reuniting him with Sidney Rice at receiver and offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell - much needed familiarity. Jackson can probably sleepwalk through plays in this system by now, so as long as he can remain healthy - behind a much-improved OL, no less - the Alabama State product could find himself in prime position to succeed. He is largely undrafted but should be a midrange No. 2 for your team if you have drafted an elite No. 1. 

22) Mark Sanchez | New York Jets | 6-foot-2, 225 pounds | 3rd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
656-743-4396030208-10200104

Mark Sanchez, New York Jets

Analysis: If on-field moxie and game-winning intangibles were fantasy stats, Sanchez would be a strong pick in the first half of your draft. The Sanchize is a game manager for fantasy football purposes, and even though the offense is supposed to be opened up some this year, don't be foolish and think he'll pass 600 times anytime soon. Sanchez is a No. 2 quarterback with marginal upside because of his accuracy troubles and offensive role. He is appropriately drafted, on average, in the 17th round.

23) David Garrard | Jacksonville Jaguars | 6-fooot-1, 236 pounds | 10th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Garrard has always been just serviceable enough to warrant a draft selection in most fantasy leagues. This year, he has fewer weapons than ever before and a first-round rookie champing at the bit to steal his job. At best, he is a bottom-of-the-barrel No. 2 but is better suited to be a third in very deep leagues. He is drafted in the 15th round, on average.

24) Donovan McNabb | Minnesota Vikings | 6-foot-2, 240 pounds | 13th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: McNabb is coming off a terrible year and will have a first-round quarterback waiting for him to falter. If Minnesota struggles and falls out of contention, expect to see Christian Ponder since McNabb is not the future of this club. At 34 years old, soon to be 35, McNabb's best days are long behind him and he should only be considered a No. 2 if you have a strong starter. He is more safely drafted as a third fantasy passer in the deepest of leagues; typically, McNabb goes in the 14th round, which likely has something to do with name recognition.

25) John Beck | Washington Redskins | 6-foot-2, 215 pounds | 5th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Beck has a chance to claim the starting job, and after having not started a game since 2006, expectations of him are low. He is battling Rex Grossman, who knows this system well from his time in Houston with coordinator Kyle Shanahan. No starter will be named before Week 1. Beck is a No. 3 fantasy quarterback if he wins the job, and the 'Skins have just enough tools around him to warrant a possible spot start as the season progresses.

26) Matt Hasselbeck | Tennessee Titans | 6-foot-4, 225 pounds | 13th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
042-1436-4935103-1106-14160104

Analysis: Hasselbeck, soon to be 36, has started all 16 games in a season just once since 2005. He has a first-round quarterback behind him and will have to learn a new system with unfamiliar talent around him. Stranger things have happened, but the odds are against Hass having a fantasy-worthy season. Draft him as a very low-end No. 2 if you're in desperation mode.

27) Rex Grossman | Washington Redskins | 6-foot-1, 225 pounds | 9th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: The positive is Grossman is hungry to prove he has what it takes to lead an NFL team. The Redskins have ample talent for him to work with, and Grossman knows the system from his year in Houston with OC Kyle Shanahan. Should he beat out John Beck, view Grossman as a flier pick as your third quarterback.

28) Colt McCoy | Cleveland Browns | 6-foot-1, 215 pounds | 2nd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: The Browns have a new coaching staff, a new system and little offensive talent. McCoy, a winner, isn't likely to consistently post fantasy-worthy stats, though. He will have Pat Shurmur working hard to prove us wrong, but we feel McCoy isn't poised to jump on the fantasy football radar until the 2012 season. He is a third passer in very deep leagues.

29) Jason Campbell | Oakland Raiders | 6-foot-5, 230 pounds | 7th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
049-1139-56344031301012420104

Jason Campbell, Oakland Raiders

Analysis: Campbell lost his favorite target in Zach Miller to the Seattle Seahawks in free agency; Kevin Boss has replaced him. The Raiders' receiving corps is raw and appears to lack sufficient talent. Campbell has proven to be nothing more than a game manager and deserves a look as a third quarterback in fantasy football leagues, but the idea of Al Davis forcing Terrelle Pryor into the starting lineup is not farfetched at all.

30) Alex Smith | San Francisco 49ers | 6-foot-4, 217 pounds | 7th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
4945442963463328372820249115666278308022026

Analysis: New head coach Jim Harbaugh should improve Smith, but how much? The Niners have a fair amount of talent for the up-and-down passer to utilize, although Smith's perennial health concerns negate any offseason improvements. He has to learn a new offense on short notice - a system that should once again run through Frank Gore. If you're optimistic and feeling a little lucky, Smith is a very low-end No. 2. Otherwise, he is a third fantasy passer.

31) Chad Henne | Miami Dolphins | 6-foot-3, 230 pounds | 4th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
349399195245215725571317121417275383021319

Chad Henne, Miami Dolphins

Analysis: Henne's prospects appear to be dim; he threw more INTs than touchdown passes for the second straight year in 2010, and the former Michigan Wolverine's improvement hasn't been as noticeable as fantasy owners would like to see. Brave owners will select him as a last-resort No. 2, but he shouldn't come off the board until your league is ready for a third wave of quarterbacks to be drafted.

32) Andy Dalton | Cincinnati Bengals | 6-foot-2, 215 pounds | Rookie

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
48453429634635673967252914164555110140022531

Analysis: The TCU rookie is expected to take over for the retired Carson Palmer. Cincy has young and largely unproven talent around him. Dalton will have to learn a complex West Coast offense, too. Expect big things ... just not in 2011. Leave him for the waiver wire in single-year formats.

33) Cam Newton | Carolina Panthers | 6-foot-5, 248 pounds | Rookie

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
465515260310323136311620131598108499529572127

Analysis: Newton is the future of the Panthers' offense, but that doesn't mean the future will necessarily begin in Week 1. He should get the opening day nod, though, since no one else on roster has been better in camp. Even if Newton plays all 16 games, don't expect fantasy-worthy production. Stay away from him in 2011 leagues.

34) Charlie Whitehurst | Seattle Seahawks | 6-foot-5, 225 pounds | 6th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
8913939896321032262481821510228

Analysis: Unless Tarvaris Jackson struggles or falls to injury, don't expect to see much from Whitehurst. Fantasy owners should leave him for the wire in all formats.

35) Blaine Gabbert | Jacksonville Jaguars | 6-foot-5, 233 pounds | Rookie

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
044-1535-88312030221221510104

Analysis: Gabbert will have to beat out David Garrard to win the starting job, and that doesn't appear likely anytime soon. Leave him for the wire in single-year setups.

36) Jimmy Clausen | Carolina Panthers | 6-foot-2, 222 pounds | 2nd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: Clausen isn't likely to start the season with the first-team offense; leave him for the waiver wire in all formats.

37) Tyler Thigpen | Buffalo Bills | 6-foot-1, 221 pounds | 5th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Analysis: The Bills are expected to allow Thigpen to compete for the starting job, and he has experience in Chan Gailey's system. We feel Fitzpatrick will stave off the competition, but if Thigpen wins the gig, he's a low-end backup.

38) Christian Ponder | Minnesota Vikings | 6-foot-2, 229 pounds | Rookie

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
044-1337-733270302091310104

Analysis: Ponder doesn't figure to see the field for any meaningful experience as long as Donovan McNabb is healthy. Look elsewhere in single-year setups.

39) Jake Locker | Tennessee Titans | 6-foot-2, 234 pounds | Rookie

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
41646624429429743374162013154454275305241824

Analysis: Locker should sit the entire year behind Matt Hasselbeck, but the veteran's body is one strong wind away from crumbling. Even still, Locker's value in 2011 if very limited because of the lockout.

40) Tim Tebow | Denver Broncos | 6-foot-3, 245 pounds | 2nd year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi

Tim Tebow, Denver Broncos

Analysis: Tebow may eventually take over in 2011, but you can't draft him with that hope in mind. Leave him for the wire and monitor Kyle Orton's grasp on the job.

41) Bruce Gradkowski | Cincinnati Bengals | 6-foot-1, 220 pounds | 6th year

2011 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pass Att Pass Com Pass Yds Pass TDs Int Run Att Run Yds Run TDs Tot TDs
Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi Lo Hi
029-2327-17422602-1106-14160103

Analysis: It seemingly will take a major whiff by Andy Dalton for Gradkowski to take the starting job away from him. Keep an eye on this situation, but Gradkowski may not be more than a low-end No. 2 - in best-case scenario - if he wins the job.

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QB | RB | WR | TE | PK | DT

About Cory J. Bonini

Cory is KFFL's General Manager. In late 2002, he joined the KFFL staff as a research analyst and has been involved in fantasy sports since 1996. A member of the Fantasy Sports Trade Association, as well as Fantasy Sports Writers Association, Bonini has been featured in print, on radio and on scores of websites. Bonini co-hosted Big Lead Sports on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio from 2011 to 2012.

Bonini was recognized with the 2010 Best Article in Print Award from the FSWA and was a finalist for the same award in 2011. In '11, he finished first overall in the FSWA NFL experts challenge that featured 60 of the industry's best competitors.

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