David Ragan | No. 6 UPS Ford | Roush Fenway Racing

It was another lackluster year for Ragan in 2010, and his magical 2008 season is looking more and more like a fluke. He failed to record a top-five finish for the second straight season, and he ended the year with a 21.3 average finish. The 2011 season could be a make-or-break campaign for Ragan because Roush Fenway Racing now has Trevor Bayne waiting in the wings.

As Roush Fenway Racing improved throughout the 2010 season, Ragan experienced only a slight boost in his numbers. He managed just three top-10 finishes all year and ended up 24th in the standings while the other three RFR drivers finished in the top six. The organization as a whole may be on the rise, but Ragan doesn't seem to be reaping the benefits.

It's time for fantasy owners to face facts about Ragan. In 2008, he finished 13th in points, finishing the year with six top-five finishes and 14 top-10s. In his other three seasons in the Cup Series, he has a combined two top-five finishes and eight top-10s. One great year can't make a career and fantasy points aren't awarded for past accomplishments.

Although Ragan is probably destined to underperform again in 2011, he is still going to be a top-25 driver and is worth taking in Draft and Play leagues. In other fantasy formats, his value is restricted to the superspeedways and a few intermediate tracks. Ragan is a career top-15 driver at Daytona and Talladega; he runs well at the 2.0-mile tracks of Michigan and Auto Club Speedway.