Shonn Greene | New York Jets | 5-foot-11, 226 pounds | 2nd year

2010 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics

Pros: Greene figures to be the young lead back on a run-dominated offense, which is why it is easy to become excited about his potential. He has ideal size and build to succeed in the NFL, as well as decent moves to go with it. He averaged 5.0 yards per carry on 108 attempts during his rookie season but exploded for 304 rushing yards (5.6 ypc) and two touchdowns in three postseason games. The Jets are a conservative lot, built off a great defense and clock dominating offensive drives. This leads to plenty of rushing attempts - the Jets ran the ball 82 more times than the next closest team last year. The Jets believe in him, too, otherwise they wouldn't have sent last year's top rusher (Thomas Jones) packing during the offseason.

Cons: That short resume is concerning. Can he hold up for a 16-game, 300-carry season? He was knocked out of the playoffs with a chest injury after his carries increased drastically. Greene has one lost fumble for every 36 touches, which is never a good sign for a young player. He corrected this in the playoffs, but will he revert to his old ways? The team added veteran LaDainian Tomlinson during the offseason. While he is not the LT of old, he is back in a system that is ideal for his running style. The Jets are going to use a committee approach at running back. The offensive line also took a step back. The Jets released guard Alan Faneca, one of the key cogs in run blocking, during the offseason and are going to try to replace him with a rookie. Risky move? We think so.

Fantasy tip: Green is being selected in the early second round - sometimes in the first round - on average, this summer, which is incredibly too risky for a player with such a limited body of work. We love him as a No. 2 fantasy back this year, but he is simply too green to be your No. 1 back and be taken in the first two rounds. There is simply too much risk versus potential reward. Do not overvalue him!