Rebuilding for next year in keeper leagues
on July 23, 2010 @ 11:30:00
Paraphrasing the immortal words of BaseballHQ writer John Burnson, "you've run the spreadsheets and scouted the enemies and read the tea leaves and sacrificed the goats, and you have decided that .... it's time to throw in the towel." You have no choice but to rebuild your team for next year. Now what?
The obvious answer is to accumulate a bunch of good keepers, but just how do you do that? Here's a straightforward step-by-step guide to key rebuilding decisions:
1. Decide now: Now is the time to begin rebuilding. If you wait until your league trade deadline approaches, the best bargains for next year may be gone. In fact, some teams in competitive leagues may have seen this as a rebuilding season from the beginning, and consciously set out with next year in mind. Any further delay will only put your team further behind.
2. Separate the sheep from the goats: Sort every player assigned to a team in your league into three categories: keepers, non-keepers, and "bubbles." Keepers are those whose current salary is below their projected output for next year, as well as those high value players who would likely go for higher prices in the draft because of inflation.
Non-keepers are comprised of the remaining overpriced players, those in the final year of a fantasy league contract, and those likely to retire. These will form the bulk of the trade fodder exchanged in return for additional keepers. Bubbles, as the name implies, are players who are on the bubble for protection in next year's draft, as well as those non-keepers whose value could easily increase significantly with a change in role.
3. Look for big bargains: One great bargain can be worth more than several marginal freezes. Go for quality as well as quantity by protecting the best keepers available, not just the most keepers. And don't feel you have to freeze the maximum number of players allowed by your league; when draft time comes you should only protect legitimate keepers.
4. Compare keepers: To compare the relative value of protectable players, start by constructing a potential freeze list for your team next year. This list will undoubtedly change between now and your draft, so don't agonize over trying to generate precise projections. But completing this chart for your team will give you an idea about whom to keep and whom to trade. A
5. Prepare a target list: Now use the same techniques to identify bargain freezes on other teams. Concentrate your efforts on GMs who are still in contention, because these are the teams that will most readily trade off their future.
6. Don't tell the world: If you broadcast that you are playing for next year, it will become very difficult to get fair value in trade. The only time it makes sense to advertise that you are desperate to unload your overpriced stars is when little time remains to tailor individual trades and you need others to make an offer. Otherwise, avoid referring to dumping or rebuilding altogether. Let your opponent think they are putting one over on you.
Finally, consider these tips before participating in any rebuilding trades:
With these ideas in mind, you can put yourself in contention for a pennant next year.
Ron Shandler began publishing statistical reports for baseball analysts and fantasy leaguers in 1986. Since then, his enterprise has grown into one of the largest information providers in the industry, producing quality products continuously and over a longer period than any other fantasy baseball company. Our writers and analysts are paid professionals, not weekend hobbyists or corporate staffers. While other information services seek out professional journalists who play fantasy baseball, we seek out successful fantasy players with innovative ideas who know how to write. That's our difference, and it's a huge one.
Don't miss these great reports....
Recent KFFL releases
Fantasy NASCAR Rankings: Coca-Cola 600
Fantasy NASCAR Practice Recap: Coca-Cola 600
Fantasy Baseball Closer Hot Seat: Dodgers, Fernando Rodney, more
Fantasy baseball closer depth charts - AL